Columbia Universitybegan suspending pro-Palestinian student protesters who had ignored an order from administrators to clear out their encampment, which contains around 80 tents. Earlier Minouche Shafik, the university’s embattled president, said Columbia would not divest from Israeli equities, one of the protesters’ key demands. She promised to invest in Gaza’s health care and education instead. On April 18th, at Columbia’s request, police arrested over 100 students for trespassing, prompting similar encampments atuniversitiesacross the country.
Antony Blinken, America’s secretary of state, urgedHamasto accept a ceasefire proposal put forward by Israel, calling it “extraordinarily generous”. David Cameron, Britain’s foreign secretary, said that a 40-daytrucewas on the table. According to Reuters, the deal would involve the release of up to 40 Israeli hostages, in exchange for freeing Palestinians jailed in Israel.
A consortium that includesSkydance, a production company, stepped up its pursuit ofParamount Globalby offering a $3bn investment in the Hollywood film studio. Skydance’s frustrated attempts to buy the firm have vexed investors and prompted the resignation of Bob Bakish, Paramount’s boss, on Monday. Paramount’s market value has fallen by half in the past two years, to under $9bn.
The semiconductor divisionatSamsung Electronics, the world’s largest memory-chip maker, returned to profitability for the first time since 2022. Memory-chip sales almost doubled to 17.5trn won ($12.7bn) in the first quarter of 2024 compared with a year earlier. The rise was driven by the boom in artificial intelligence. The firm’s share price rose by as much as 2.4% on Tuesday morning.
Activity inChina’sfactoriesgrew for a second consecutive month in April, raising hopes of a sustained recovery. The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index came in at 50.4 for the month (anything over 50 represents expansion), although this was lower than the 50.8 registered in March. The recovery is being driven in part by increased Western demand for Chinese exports.
Energy ministers representing countries in theG7, a club of rich democracies, reportedly reached a deal to phase out allcoal-fired power plantsby 2035. Ministers are meeting in Italy to discuss climate goals; they have been greeted by protests. Coal production must fall by more than two-thirds over the course of this decade to stay in line with global targets.
Paris’s public prosecutor said thatGérard Depardieu, a French actor, would be tried later this year for alleged sexual assaults of two women. Prosecutors say the incidents took place during the filming of “Les Volets Verts”, in September 2021. In addition to the charged offences, Mr Depardieu is under investigation for alleged rape, committed against the actress Charlotte Arnould. Mr Depardieu has previously denied wrongdoing.
Figure of the day:650,000, the number of Ukrainian men of fighting age who have left the country.Read the full story.
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photo: reuters
Former boss of Binance faces prison
Changpeng Zhao, the co-founder and formerchief executive of Binance, a cryptocurrency exchange, will be sentenced in federal court in Seattle on Tuesday. He has pleaded guilty to violating America’s Bank Secrecy Act by failing to follow its anti-money-laundering strictures. Binance was ordered to pay fines worth $4.3bn for the admission in November, after which Richard Teng, a senior executive with a background in regulation, took over as the firm’s boss.
American prosecutors want Mr Zhao to be sentenced to three years in prison, twice the amount recommended under official guidelines. They hope that will deter potential lawbreakers. In a letter to the presiding judge, Mr Zhao apologised for not establishing the necessary compliance controls.
Binance’s troubles are just one segment in a series of challenges and scandals for crypto exchanges. Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and chief executive of the now-defunct FTX exchange, was sentenced to 25 years in prison last month on several fraud-related charges.
photo: alamy
Another Gaza case at the ICJ
The International Court of Justice in the Hague usually attracts little attention, issuing judgments on such questions as who has ownership of rocks visible only at low tide. But many people will be watching its provisional ruling on Tuesday on a Gaza genocide case. Nicaragua brought the case against Germany over its arms sales to Israel. The ruling could have repercussions for other countries’ support for Israel.
On the face of it, Nicaragua’s argument looks weak: it wants the ICJ to find immediately that Germany is facilitating genocide by Israel, even though the court will not rule for several years on whether genocide is taking place. (That is the question in a separate case brought bySouth Africa.) Yet several of the ICJ’s judges have become increasingly outspoken about South Africa’s case, arguing that the court should order Israel to halt its military campaign. Those judges may look favourably on Nicaragua’s argument.
photo: getty images
All eyes on Amazon
Amazon reports its quarterly earnings on Tuesday. The firm has had a strong start to the year. Its share price has increased by 18%—compared with an average rise of 7% for firms in the S&P 500—partly because it published robust results in February.
Two factors will determine whether Amazon can continue its strong performance. One is Amazon Web Services, the e-commerce giant’s cloud-computing arm. It is the world’s biggest cloud service, accounting for over 30% of global spending. The cloud market is still growing swiftly. Yet both Microsoft and Alphabet (Google’s parent company) have big cloud services that are gaining market share. They reported strong results last week, buoyed by the surge in customers’ interest in artificial intelligence.
Meanwhile, Amazon’s retail arm is facing competition fromTemu and Shein, two Chinese e-commerce upstarts, which have been splurging on advertising in an attempt to crack the American market. Investors will want to see howAmazonis handling its rivals.
photo: getty images
Spain’s banking derby
Forget the competition between Real Madrid and Barcelona, Spain’s most successful football teams. The country’s fiercest rivalry is really between Santander and BBVA, its two biggest banks.
Four years ago Santander had a market capitalisation of €56bn ($62bn), €28bn more than BBVA. But by the end of last year the gap between the two narrowed to just €12bn. During the first quarter of 2024 BBVA’s profits rose by 19%. Santander’s earnings, released on Tuesday, will probably be less impressive. That may encourage a further narrowing of the gap between the valuations of the two companies.
Differing fortunes in Latin America are one reason why the valuations are converging. Santander’s biggest market isBrazil, where a weak real and an increase in loan defaults have dragged down profits. BBVA, meanwhile, has concentrated onMexico. Profits soared after it launched new digital services; BBVA Mexico is now the country’s biggest bank. To stay ahead in Spain’s banking derby, Santander will have to make better decisions abroad.
photo: toho co., ltd.
“Spirited Away” on stage
A stage adaptation of “Spirited Away”, Hayao Miyazaki’s Oscar-winning animated film, will open at the London Coliseum theatre on Tuesday. The folkloric, coming-of-age cartoon has been reimagined by John Caird, a director, who is best known for his production of “Les Misérables”, and by Toby Olié, a puppeteer. They bring to life Mr Miyazaki’s fantastical world with lavish costumes and impressive sets: his dragons, gremlins and talking frogs are no less technicolour.
The show, which sold out a tour of Japan, will be performed in Japanese with English subtitles. It follows an adaptation of another ofMr Miyazaki’s films, “My Neighbour Totoro”, which premiered at the Barbican in London in 2022. Each has splendid scores and elaborate puppets, which deftly mimic the movement of cartoon characters. In both music and motion, however, “Spirited Away” is more ambitious. The cartoon—one of Japan’s highest-grossing films—changed animation forever. It may yet change stagecraft, too.
ARussianair strike killed at least 16 people and injured many more inChernihiv, a city in the north of Ukraine.The city’s acting mayor condemned Russia for engaging in “terrorist activity”. Russia has stepped up itsbombardmentof Ukrainian cities, overwhelming the country’s air defences. Ukrainian politicians renewed their call for moremilitary supportfollowing the attack.Mike Johnson, the speaker of the House of Representatives, has said American lawmakers couldvote on aid for Ukrainelater this week.
TheIMFforecast that America will record a fiscal deficit of 7.1% next year. According to the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor, a twice-yearly analysis ofpublic finances, the average fiscal deficit for countries in the rich world is 2%. The report was also highly critical of large budget deficits in China, Britain andItaly.
Georgia’sparliament approved a controversial “foreign agents” law on its first reading. Opposition MPs refused to vote on the bill, which would require organisations to register as “pursuing the interests of a foreign power” if they receive more than 20% of their funding from abroad. Critics, who view the law as a means of cracking down on dissent, held mass protests in Tbilisi in recent days. The bill will require two more readings before it is adopted.
President Joe Bidenwill call for tariffs onChinese steelto be tripled when he visits Pennsylvania on Wednesday, according to White House officials. Tariffs onChinese steelimports, which make up 0.6% of American demand, are currently 7.5%. The announcement forms part of Mr Biden’s efforts to outflank Donald Trump, a self-proclaimed “Tariff Man”, ahead of the presidential election in November.
TheEuropean CommissionorderedTikTok, asocial media company, to submit a risk assessment regarding the impact of its new platform, TikTok Lite. The Commission is concerned about the impact of the platform—which includes a “Reward Program” that allows users to earn points by watching videos—on children’s mental health. The move follows the Commission’s launch of an investigation intoTikTok, which is alsounder firein America.
Israelassured itsArabneighbours that it would not threaten their security in itsresponsetothe barrage of drones and missilesthatIranlaunched towards its territory on Saturday, according to local media. America and Europe are planning to impose fresh sanctions on Iran. Janet Yellen, America’s treasury secretary, said she would act “in the coming days”.
AEuropean Unioncourt rejected efforts by a Puerto Rican company to register the name“Pablo Escobar”as a trademark in the bloc. The business, which is linked to the family of thedeceased Colombian cartel leader, argued that the names of other notorious figures—including Al Capone—had previously been accepted astrademarks. The court said the registration would be contrary “to accepted principles of morality”.
Figure of the day: $50bn, the total value of subsidies and tax credits included in America’s CHIPS Act.Read the full story.
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photo: getty images
The Solomon Islands go to the polls
An election in the Solomon Islands on Wednesday will determine whether the Pacific country continues its hard tilt towards China. After the previous vote in 2019, Manasseh Sogavare, the prime minister, switched diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China. In 2022 he signed asecretive security deal with the country.China has since sent police and a flurry of aid and investment to the islands, triggering alarm bells in the West.
Opposition leaders have pledged to curb China’s growing influence. So Australia, fearing a Chinese military base to its north, hopes for a change of guard. Ordinarily there would be one: no prime minister in the Solomon Islands has been re-elected for consecutive terms in office. But opposition figures suggest that Chinese money has helped Mr Sogavare buy political support (he denies that China has undue influence). The election will be followed by weeks of horse-trading, as MPs align behind a prime minister. The incumbent—and China—may emerge victorious.
photo: reuters
A long-term bet on ASML
ASML, which sells chipmaking gear, isEurope’s most valuable technology companywith a market capitalisation of nearly $400bn. On Wednesday the Dutch firm announced results for the first quarter. The numbers came in lower than last year because the semiconductor industry is in one of its cyclical downturns. Revenues were $5.62bn, lower than estimates of $5.73bn and around 22% lower than in the first quarter of 2023.
But in the longer term analysts are extremely bullish, which explains why ASML’s market capitalisation is up 32% since the start of the year. Without its cutting-edge lithography machines, chipmakers could not produce the most fine-grained processors, the transistors of which are measured in a few nanometres. They go into smartphones and, more recently, data centres that train and run the artificial-intelligence models that power generative-AI services such as ChatGPT. Demand for these AI chips will probably keep going up for some time.
photo: epa
A mixed economic picture in Britain
Data released on Wednesday show Britain’s inflation rate slowed to 3.2% in March, down from 3.4% in February. That is the lowest level since September 2021, but still higher than analysts had predicted. Inflation remains well above the Bank of England’s 2% target. Further declines are expected over the next few months.
The release capped a week of mixed macroeconomic data. On Friday GDP numbers for February suggested that Britain had edged out of recession, but growth remains tepid. On Tuesday labour-market data pointed to rising unemployment and faster wage growth than expected. That all raises the spectre of stagflation. But serious questions remain about the reliability of Britain’s economic data, following a collapse in survey response rates after the pandemic.
The Bank of England’s monetary-policy committee next meets on May 9th. Markets expect aninterest-rate cutat some point between May and September, but are unsure of the exact timing.
photo: getty images
American colleges and antisemitism
Last year Columbia University’s president was asked to attend acongressional hearingabout antisemitism at American colleges. She had a prior commitment. That may have been lucky: two of her counterparts, at Harvard and the University of Pennsylvania,resigned in its aftermath, owing to their overly cautious, legalistic answers. On Wednesday Minouche Shafik will appear for her rescheduled hearing.
Jewish students recently filed two lawsuits against Columbia, alleging that it tolerates a “hostile environment” towards Jews. Other top-tier colleges have been sued, too. Yet administrators and lawyers are grappling with how even to define antisemitism in a way that does not curtail legitimate criticism of Israel. Columbia’s task-force has declined to produce a definition. UC Berkeley has asked a judge to dismiss a lawsuit over its refusal to discipline pro-Palestinian student groups, citing its obligations to protect free expression. At her testimony Ms Shafik will try to tread a fine line—and risks satisfying no one.
photo: ap
Reading nature at Bogotá’s book fair
On Wednesday Brazil’s president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (better known as Lula), will open one of the biggest events on Latin America’s literary circuit in Bogotá, the capital of Colombia. The city’s 36th international book fair is devoted to the relationship between literature, nature and culture. The two-week programme of 2,000 events will encompass editors, publishers and bookworms from more than 25 countries. They will discuss how authors from the region consider the relationship between humans and the wilderness; chronicle the destruction of ecosystems; and eulogise about the lungs of the Earth.
The focus on eco-criticism is well timed. Deforestation in the Amazondropped significantlylast year on the watch of Colombia and Brazil’s green-minded presidents. In October Colombia will also host a UN biodiversity summit. Lula’s presence in Bogotá shows how the two biodiverse countries are bonding over the environment—pleasing bibliophiles in turn.
Diplomats urgedIranto exercise caution after America warned that theIslamic Republiccould launch a “significant attack” against Israel. Germany’s foreign minister urged her Iranian counterpart to exert “maximum restraint”; the Kremlin said it was critical for Middle Eastern countries to avoid “a complete destabilisation of the situation”. America asked other countries, including China and Turkey, to urge Iran not to attack Israel. “Whoever harms us, we will harm them,” said Binyamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister.
Joe Biden saidAmerica’sdefence commitments toJapanand thePhilippineswere “ironclad”, at a summit of the three countries’ leaders. Mr Biden said that an attack on Filipino ships in the South China Sea would “invoke” the America-Philippines defence treaty. Chinaspuriouslyclaims almost all of the sea, and regularly hassles littoral countries’ vessels there. On Wednesday America beefed up its military ties with Japan.
Truong My Lan, a property tycoon and one ofVietnam’swealthiest people, was sentenced to death after she was found guilty of bribery, embezzlement and violating banking rules. Prosecutors said some $12.5bn was embezzled. Ms Lan had denied wrongdoing and can appeal against the sentence. The trial is part of the“blazing furnace”anti-corruption campaign launched by Vietnam’s ruling Communist Party.
Russialaunched a big attack on Ukraine’s infrastructure, destroying the Trypilska electricity plant, Kyiv’s biggest power plant. Strikes also hit power plants elsewhere inUkraine, leaving around 200,000 people inKharkiv, the second-largest city, without electricity. Seven people were killed and many more were injured.
TheEuropean Central Bankvoted to keep interest rates steady at 4%. However, it signalled that rate cuts could come soon: the central bank said it “would be appropriate” to lower rates ifinflationkeeps falling. This was the first time the ECB has publicly discussed cutting rates since it began tightening policy. Theeconomyis weak: growth across the euro zone averaged 0.4% last year.
Mizuhara Ippei, a former translator forOhtani Shohei, aMajor League Baseball mega-star, was charged with bank fraud. Federal prosecutors in Los Angeles say that Mr Mizuhara stole $16m from Mr Ohtani to pay off gambling debts. The Justice Department said it had no evidence that Mr Ohtani was aware of the scheme.
Orenthal James (“O.J.”) Simpson, a former American-football player whose murder trial in 1995 gripped America, died aged 76. Mr Simpson, who was black, was acquitted of killing his ex-wife and her friend, who were both white. Some 150m people watched the verdict live on television. The result left Americans “screeching with anger or squealing with delight”,The Economistwroteat the time.
Figure of the day:$25trn, the value that climate change and the fight against it could wipe from the world’s housing by 2050.Read the full story.
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photo: getty images
China’s economy in the spotlight
China’s economic data were encouraging in the first two months of the year. Both inflation and exports were stronger than forecast. Indeed China’s trade surplus has fanned fears about its industrial overcapacity. On Monday Janet Yellen, America’s treasury secretary, warned during a trip to Beijing that flooding the global market with “artificially cheap Chinese products” could put the “viability” of foreign firms into question.
Can China’s upturn last? The data for March will provide some clues. Figures released this week showed that consumer prices rose by only 0.1% compared with a year earlier, suggesting the rise in inflation earlier in the year was largely a result of the Chinese new year holiday. Trade figures released on Friday are also likely to be weak in comparison with last year, when China’s ports enjoyed apost-pandemic boost. If the data are disappointing, China can at least claim that its export machine is not as scary as its critics think.
photo: ap
A row over US Steel
Kishida Fumio, Japan’s prime minister, received a pomp-filled welcome in Washington this week. Nippon Steel has faced a far frostier reception in the Capitol since the Japanese steelmaker struck a deal to buy US Steel, America’s third-largest producer of steel, for $15bn in December. On Friday US Steel’s shareholders will vote on the aquisition. They will probably approve the agreement, but staunchpolitical oppositionto the transaction could still cause it to fall apart.
Last month President Joe Biden said the steelmaker should remain domestically owned, joining Donald Trump and the union representing steelworkers in calling for the deal to be scrapped. Nippon is yet to throw in the towel, though the transaction now faces scrutiny from America’s investment-screening watchdog and antitrust authorities. Markets do not rate Nippon’s chances of success—shares in US Steel currently change hands at around a 25% discount to Nippon’s all-cash offer.
photo: getty images
Trouble on Wall Street
Three of America’s biggest lenders—Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo—will report first-quarter earnings on Friday. Investors will be watching for signs of trouble. Data released on Wednesday showed a bigger rise in the consumer price index than expected, suggesting that inflation is yet to be vanquished.Interest ratesmay remain higher for longer than bankers expected.
That has upsides for lenders (more interest income) but also risks. It will keep up the pressure on their borrowers, who might struggle with repayments. Commercial-property losses have piled up at smaller banks, while consumers have been falling behind on auto and credit-card loans. Bankers’ interest costs have been climbing, too, as customers take advantage of high-yield savings accounts.
Shareholders will be watching Citi especially closely, after it completed an overhaul of its business at the end of March. The bank laid off 5,000 people, including 1,500 in management roles. Its earnings should reveal the cost of the transition.
photo: alamy
Britain’s Post Office scandal
Between 1999 and 2015 almost 1,000 sub-postmasters in Britain’s Post Office were wrongfully convicted for theft and other charges owing to afaulty online payments system. For decades, the scandal was under-reported. The company insisted the system worked, while campaigners strove to prove otherwise. The arguments were technical and a little dull: neither politicians, nor the public, paid much attention.
That all changed in January, when a hit television series dramatised the affair. Politicians promised exoneration and compensation. Some suggested executives should hand bonuses back or be criminally prosecuted. Paula Vennells, the Post Office’s former chief executive, returned her CBE, a national honour. A public inquiry that will last months is now hearing from many of those involved. On Friday Alan Cook, another former executive, will face questioning. He has said he will “never forgive himself” over the scandal. It is unlikely that others will be ready to forgive either.
photo: alamy
Amy Winehouse’s immense musical legacy
In 2011 Amy Winehouse, a British singer, died, aged 27. She was a figure about whomfansknew everything and nothing. Each salacious detail of her chaotic life was exposed in the media glare. But the reality of what made her—and her music—tick was more obscure.
Alas, a film biopic, “Back To Black”, released in Britain on Friday, offers few insights. It focuses on Winehouse’s troubled marriage and her time in the public eye. The narrative of a tragic celebrity addict overshadows the impact of her work, which was not only thrilling in its own right but also defined a style of pop music. One artist after another has vied for her vacant throne as the queen of dramatic retro soul. None has yet claimed it. But the breakout success of Raye—a record winner at this year’s Brit Awards—could change that. And prove that Winehouse’s musical legacy is greater than her tabloid legend.