Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, said that Russia’s three-day unilateral ceasefire was “another attempt at manipulation”, and called for an immediate truce. Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president, announced a ceasefire in Ukraine from May 8th to coincide with the anniversary of the end of the second world war in Europe. During the period Mr Putin is expected to host foreign leaders—including China’s president, Xi Jinping—for commemoration events.


Millions of people in Spain and Portugal were without electricity after a huge power cut. Power is now being restored to several regions. Portugal’s electricity operator said extreme variations in temperature in Spain contributed to the outage, while the European Commission ruled out a cyber attack as the cause. Airports, metro systems and some online-banking services were shut down by the power cut.


Voting began in Canada’s election. Donald Trump urged Canadians to choose him as their leader and get rid of the “artificially drawn line” between the two countries. The American president’s threats have inspired a surge in patriotism in Canada: our forecast model suggests the leader of the Liberals, Mark Carney, who wants to stand up to Mr Trump, is overwhelmingly likely to win.


Ronen Bar, the head of Shin Bet, Israel’s domestic-security service, said he would step down in June. Binyamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, has been trying to fire Mr Bar since March, citing “ongoing distrust” in their relationship. The Supreme Court blocked the government’s attempt after Mr Bar said that he was pressured to spy on Israeli citizens, an allegation Mr Netanyahu denies.


The Houthis said that an American air strike killed at least 68 African migrants at a detention centre in north-west Yemen. The Iran-backed militia also reported that another 47 migrants were injured. Earlier America’s armed forces, which have not commented on the claims, said they had bombed more than 800 targets since Donald Trump ordered more strikes on the Houthis in March.


IBM announced plans to invest $150bn in America over the next five years, including more than $30bn for research into developing quantum computers. The computing firm’s announcement—which follows similar pledges by Apple and Nvidia, two tech giants—is probably aimed at currying favour with Donald Trump. On April 23rd IBM said it had lost 15 government contracts amid Mr Trump’s efficiency drive.


Nepal said it would only allow experienced climbers up Mount Everest to reduce overcrowding on the world’s tallest summit. It plans to restrict permits to those who have climbed at least one mountain taller than 7,000 metres in the country. Nepal has been accused of admitting too many novice climbers, leading to queues on Everest and causing several deaths in recent years.


Figure of the day: $30bn, the value of toy sales in America each year. Read the full story.


We update The world in brief on our app and website as news happens. Check back throughout the day for our latest analysis.


Donald Trump’s first 100 days back in the White House have brought exceptional changes to American politics—with consequences for the rest of the world, too. Read The US in brief, a daily update of the domestic political stories that matter.


Photograph: Getty Images

Trump’s first 100 days

Tuesday is Donald Trump’s 100th day back in office. The start of his second term has arguably been the most consequential of any modern president. Most new occupants of the White House are desperate to secure some signature legislative achievement. But Mr Trump has shown little interest in the Republican-controlled Congress. Instead, he is wielding the presidency’s imperial powers to do what he likes: impose some of the highest tariff increases ever seen; shred the federal bureaucracy; and cudgel his adversaries.

In the process Mr Trump has done lasting harm to America’s institutions. He has centralised power at the expense of Congress and has been inching worryingly close to defying some court orders. And he is also eroding the checks and balances within the executive branch. The defence of the republic will fall in large measure to the chief justice of the Supreme Court and his colleagues, armed with the power of the pen and faith in the separation of powers.


Photograph: Getty Images

Spain’s economy powers on

The widespread power outage in Spain and Portugal plunged the countries into chaos on Monday. Planes and trains ground to a halt; supermarkets shut their electricity-operated doors. Tennis matches at the Madrid Open were postponed.

As Spaniards return to the grid on Tuesday, they can expect at least a crumb of comfort. Spain’s first-quarter economic data is expected to confirm a healthy outlook for its economy. Among the larger developed economies, the country was the only one to escape a downgrade in the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook, with growth forecast at 2.5% this year and 1.8% in 2026.

But with growth set to fall from last year’s 3.2%, the IMF also warned Spain to move faster to cut its fiscal deficit and public debt. That is unlikely: the government has just approved an overdue increase in defence spending. Figures released on Monday showed that unemployment rose to 11.4% in the first quarter. And then there is the clean-up after Monday’s power paralysis.


Photograph: Getty Images

How will HSBC fare in the trade war?

HSBC is often described as Europe’s biggest bank. But investors might forget that the “H” and the “S” in the London-based lender’s name stand for “Hong Kong” and “Shanghai”. Most of the bank’s profits come from Hong Kong and mainland China. That makes a trade war between America and China very bad news for HSBC. A flurry of tariffs—and probably much less trade—threaten to damage its trade-finance unit, which helped it go global more than a century ago.

A first-quarter update from the bank on Tuesday might give a sense of what is to come. Georges Elhedery, HSBC’s boss since September, is approaching the trade mess from a position of strength. The bank’s earnings for 2024 were solid. Its share price is up by more than 25% over the past year despite the tariffs. Investors will be looking for signs it is ready to weather further trade and political rumbles.


Photograph: Getty Images

Sudan’s elusive peace

A month ago Sudan’s national army, the Sudanese Armed Forces, marched triumphantly back into Khartoum, the capital. The Rapid Support Forces, a paramilitary group which had been in control of most of the city since the start of Sudan’s devastating civil war two years earlier, fled west towards its home region of Darfur. The SAF planned to mop up any remaining resistance, and begin restoring normality to Sudan’s wrecked capital.

However, this is proving slower than hoped. The RSF still occupies pockets of the district around Omdurman on the west bank of the Nile. The group shelled the army’s central headquarters on April 25th; in Omdurman two days later its forces reportedly killed at least 31 people, some of them children. Meanwhile in North Darfur, the UN says at least 480 civilians have been killed in attacks in April. The depressing conclusion is that the RSF is down, but still very far from out.


Photograph: Getty Images

America’s poster-in-chief

In his first term Donald Trump ignored the norms of presidential communication, often ditching scripted bureaucratic missives in favour of rambling social-media posts. In his second term he has gone farther, churning out roughly six times more words than in the same period since his inauguration. His output of 4,149 words a week dwarfs that of his predecessors and their running-mates: Barack Obama, Kamala Harris and Joe Biden all averaged just 400-600 words.

Mr Trump’s feeds have also changed in content. His posts are now less emotional, probably because the lawsuits and investigations that once stoked his online ire have largely faded. And compared with the first 100 days of his first term, Mr Trump avoids discussing jobs and the economy. Those, thanks to his tariffs, are among his worst-polling issues. In their place, in his second term he is devoting more than twice as many posts as in his first to talking about himself.

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Steve Witkoff, America’s envoy to Russia, met Vladimir Putin in Moscow as part of a renewed push to end the war in Ukraine. It was their fourth meeting. Donald Trump called the coming days “very important” for peace efforts. Ukrainian and European leaders oppose elements of America’s plan, which they argue would legitimise Russia’s territorial gains.


Kash Patel, America’s FBI director, said in a social-media post that the agency arrested a county judge in Wisconsin. The post was deleted, but federal law-enforcement officials confirmed that Hannah Dugan, the judge, was in custody. She is accused of obstructing immigration officials’ attempt to arrest an illegal migrant who was appearing in her courtroom in a separate case.


China said that some American imports would be exempt from its 125% tariffs, and asked businesses to submit lists of essential American goods. Earlier Mr Trump insisted that the two countries were engaged in trade talks—despite China’s denial that any such negotiations were taking place. Chinese officials have demanded that America “cancel all unilateral tariff measures” before beginning discussions.


The Trump administration reversed its cancellation of around 1,500 student visas. Citing a decades-old immigration law, the government had attempted to deport students for infractions as minor as a speeding ticket. Some were targeted for allegedly participating in pro-Palestinian campus protests. Dozens of lawsuits were filed in response. The government said immigration authorities are developing the “framework” for a new policy.


India stepped up its response to an attack in Kashmir that killed 26 people. The country’s army began house-to-house searches and deployed soldiers in the region. Upendra Dwivedi, the head of India’s army, visited Srinagar, Kashmir’s largest city. Earlier soldiers from India and Pakistan exchanged fire along the countries’ border in Kashmir. No casualties were reported.


Iran said it would expand co-operation with Russia in agriculture, banking and energy, and sign a $4bn deal with Russian firms to develop oil fields. The pair also agreed to create a regional gas hub in Iran, potentially also involving Qatar and Turkmenistan. Both countries face Western sanctions and are seeking deeper ties.


British retail sales rose by 1.6% quarter on quarter in the first three months of the year. Figures in March rose by 0.4%; economists had predicted a drop. Good weather helped, especially for clothing and outdoor goods. But the mood is darkening: consumer confidence has dropped and American tariffs threaten growth. Big retailers, including Tesco and Sainsbury’s have warned of slowing profits.


Word of the week: papabili, an Italian term meaning “pope-able,” used to describe cardinals considered contenders to become the next pope. Read the full story.

 

The coming struggle to choose the next pope

A conclave of 135 cardinals may pick someone very different from Francis

www.economist.com

 

Politics and mourning in the Vatican

World leaders will gather in front of St Peter’s Basilica on Saturday for the funeral of Pope Francis. Italy’s foreign minister, Antonio Tajani, has said that the event will not prompt a burst of informal diplomacy. But President Donald Trump reckons that other leaders are eager to meet him.

There are three things to watch for. The first is how Mr Trump might react to seeing Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky. In recent days America’s president has blamed Ukraine for obstructing peace and berated Vladimir Putin for a deadly attack on Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital. Observers will also wait to see whether Mr Trump meets Ursula von der Leyen, the boss of the European Commission. European officials are reportedly desperate to discuss trade.

Finally, look for gaffes. The Vatican’s seating arrangements make for odd neighbours. At the funeral of Saint John Paul II, King Charles (then the Prince of Wales) was snared into shaking hands with a diplomatic pariah, Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe’s late president.


Photograph: EPA

Another round of nuclear talks

Now the hard part begins. Saturday will be the third round of nuclear negotiations between Steve Witkoff, America’s Middle East envoy, and Abbas Araqchi, the Iranian foreign minister. It will also be the start of “technical talks” between experts from the two countries. The latter step marks important progress towards striking a new deal to constrain Iran’s nuclear programme, and is another sign that America and Iran are serious.

Their initial positions, however, are far apart. Mr Witkoff has sent mixed signals about whether Iran could continue enriching fissile material. Marco Rubio, America’s secretary of state, tried to resolve the confusion earlier this week. He said that Iran could import low-enriched uranium but would not be allowed to refine its own. America has similar arrangements with some of its allies, such as the United Arab Emirates. But Iran is unlikely to accept such a deal. If neither side is willing to budge, the experts may not have much to discuss.

 

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President Donald Trump lashed out at Volodymyr Zelensky, his Ukrainian counterpart, accusing him of undermining peace negotiations. Earlier Mr Zelensky called for an “unconditional ceasefire”, rejecting an American proposal that would recognise Russia’s annexation of Crimea and bar Ukraine from NATO membership. J.D. Vance, America’s vice president, said that America would “walk away” if Ukraine and Russia failed to strike a deal.


The European Commission fined Apple and Meta a combined €700m ($798m) for failing to comply with the Digital Markets Act, designed to keep tech firms from competing unfairly. The EU’s executive arm said that restrictions in Apple’s App Store and Meta’s “consent or pay” model were anti-competitive. Joel Kaplan, Meta’s chief global affairs officer, accused the EU of “attempting to handicap successful American businesses”.


Stock indices rallied after the Trump administration signalled it would relax its stances on Chinese tariffs and the Federal Reserve. Scott Bessent, the treasury secretary, said that high levies on China were not “sustainable” following a Wall Street Journal report that the White House was considering cutting the tariffs. Earlier Mr Trump said he would not fire Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair.


A large earthquake, of magnitude 6.2, followed by more than 50 aftershocks, hit Istanbul, Turkey’s largest city. The tremor could be felt 275 miles away in the capital, Ankara. Officials said at least 150 people were injured in Istanbul, mainly by jumping for safety from buildings. Schools will close for two days.


Mahmoud Abbas, the president of the Palestinian Authority, called on Hamas to release all remaining hostages, and cede control of Gaza. He said that Hamas has given Israel “excuses to commit its crimes”. Meanwhile Israel’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, said he refused to be “part of” any plan to resume aid to Gaza. In March Israel cut off aid to the strip.


Eli Lilly sued four telehealth companies, accusing them of selling untested imitations of its weight-loss and diabetes drugs. The American drugmaker recently launched legal challenges against several others. Amid a shortage of brand-name GLP-1 drugs, America’s Food and Drug Administration allowed pharmacies to produce replicas, which are cheaper and less regulated. It recently declared the shortage over and ordered production to stop.


Gamers hoping to promptly get their hands on the Nintendo Switch 2 may be disappointed. Furukawa Shuntaro, Nintendo’s president, reported that 2.2m people in Japan alone had applied to pre-order the console—a number that “far exceeds” how many can be delivered on its launch day of June 5th. This month Nintendo delayed its American pre-order date until Thursday, citing uncertainty over tariffs.


Figure of the day: 86%, the probability of Canada’s Liberals taking the most seats in the election, according to our model. Read the full story.


Donald Trump’s first 100 days of his second term have been tumultuous. Has that dented his standing with voters? Follow the latest poll ratings, as well as legal challenges and economic indicators, on our presidential tracker.


Photograph: Getty Images

Asia’s messy trade deals

On Thursday South Korean and Malaysian trade negotiators hope to ink trade deals with America to avert Donald Trump’s punishing “reciprocal” tariffs. They are not the first from Asia to try. Results have been measly. And still, Mr Trump’s unilateralism may not shock Asia into regional integration.

Although Asia’s economies are more closely bound to each other than they were, progress has slowed in recent years. Intra-Asian trade has fallen since 2020. A thicket of intra-Asia trade agreements has led to a “noodle-bowl effect”—complexity that confuses firms. On average deals in other regions raise trade flows by 20%; in Asia the boost is a mere 3%. Untangling the mess would require a shift away from gimmickry like non-binding provisions and trade-inhibiting domestic rules. For now, America remains the only game in town.


Photograph: Getty Images

Can Alphabet shrug off the tariffs?

On Thursday Alphabet, Google’s parent company, will report quarterly results. Investors will watch closely for signs of the effects of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

At first blush Alphabet may appear insulated. Most of its sales come from digital services (online advertising and cloud computing) rather than goods, and its presence in China is tiny. However, it faces risks. In the last two years Chinese e-commerce firms such as Temu and Shein used Alphabet’s platforms to splurge on marketing to American shoppers. These firms are now cutting ad spending because of tariffs on their exports to America. And economic uncertainty is making companies hesitant to commit to long-term contracts for cloud-computing services.

Investors are concerned. In the past three months Alphabet’s share price has fallen by 23%, more than the S&P 500 index. The new data will provide a useful indication of the health of the business.


Photograph: Getty Images

Searching for a new post-Brexit relationship

The British prime minister, Sir Keir Starmer, is due to meet the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, on Thursday. This comes ahead of an EU-Britain summit on May 19th that should kick off a much-advertised reset of the post-Brexit relationship. Starting with the easy bit, both sides will seek to raise defence spending so as to rely less on America. Sir Keir has been prominent in urging more support for Ukraine’s resistance to Vladimir Putin’s invasion.

But it may prove harder to rebuild the broader relationship. Sir Keir has set out red lines of no single market, no customs union and no free movement of people, limiting how far any reset can go. And the EU is reasonably happy with the agreement negotiated in December 2020, which gives European makers of most goods free access to Britain. The most likely outcome will be a new food-trade deal. But it will take time even to agree to this.


Photograph: Eyevine

Rebooting Intel

Intel will report quarterly earnings on Thursday, its first under new boss Lip-Bu Tan. He took over in December, and inherited a firm in deep trouble. Once the world’s top chipmaker, Intel is struggling with falling sales of chips for personal computers and servers. In the fast-growing market for AI chips, it barely registers. At the same time, Intel is spending $100bn to increase its manufacturing capacity.

Mr Tan wants to shake up the American company’s culture. He has vowed to cut bureaucracy and run Intel like “a big startup”. Some early pruning is under way. Intel will offload a majority stake in Altera, its programmable-chip arm, and the firm is expected to lay off 21,000 employees. Intel’s foundry business (as the contract manufacturing of chips is known) lags far behind Taiwan’s TSMC, and in AI Nvidia—the world’s most valuable chip firm—is leagues ahead. Mr Tan’s challenge is to close both gaps.


Photograph: David Simonds

A piano marathon in London 

When Erik Satie, a French composer, finished “Vexations” sometime in the 1890s, he jotted a line on the sheet music suggesting that the performer could repeat the composition 840 times. On Thursday at the Southbank Centre in London, starting at 10am, Igor Levit, a German pianist, will do just that.

Satie’s note advises the musician first to prepare for the repeated pattern of slow, harmonically unsettling music “in the deepest silence, through serious immobilities”. Mr Levit had better do so. Sitting hunched at a grand piano for at least 16 hours with just occasional breaks (his seat can turn into a bed) will take a toll. The concert, directed by Marina Abramovic, a Serbian conceptual artist, will also test the audience’s stamina. Tickets for a one-hour slot cost £32 ($42). Braver spectators can pay four times that much to hear the whole performance, which will end after midnight. And “Vexations” is no lullaby; ticketholders will have to stave off the urge to wince, let alone sleep.

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Pope Francis died at the age of 88 in his residence in the Vatican. The pontiff had experienced months of ill health. In February he was taken into hospital for bronchitis. On Easter Sunday Francis briefly appeared in St Peter’s Square for Mass. Francis appointed most of the cardinals who will choose his successor, meaning that the next pope will probably continue his progressive approach.


A 30-hour ceasefire to the war in Ukraine ended, with the Kremlin saying it would not extend the pause in fighting. Not that there had been much of an Easter truce to talk of. Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, said Russia had violated the ceasefire thousands of times along the front lines. Russia, meanwhile, said it had repelled several Ukrainian assaults.


It was reported that Pete Hegseth, America’s defence secretary, had for a second time last month shared details on Signal of an imminent attack on Yemen. According to Reuters, the messaging app’s group included Mr Hegseth’s wife, brother and personal lawyer. It follows the debacle of the editor-in-chief of the Atlantic mistakenly being added to a similar Signal chat. The Pentagon decried a media frenzy based on a “single source”.


Israel said on Sunday that its killing of 15 aid workers in Gaza on March 23rd was due to an “operational misunderstanding”. The finding comes from an inquiry conducted by the Israel Defence Forces. The IDF fired the deputy commander of the battalion responsible for the killings. On Saturday Binyamin Netanyahu said that Israel had “no choice” but to continue fighting in Gaza.


America’s vice-president headed to India, hoping to make progress on a bilateral trade deal. J.D. Vance will blend negotiations with a family visit. Trade talks have taken on a particular urgency since Donald Trump’s imposition of a 26% “reciprocal” tariff on the country earlier this month, although it was quickly paused for 90 days. America is India’s largest trading partner.


Meanwhile China threatened “resolute” countermeasures against any government that cuts a trade deal with America at its expense. China was the only country not given a temporary reprieve from Mr Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs. The rate levied on China is 145%. It has been reported that America is using the threat of sanctions to persuade countries to scale back trade with China.


America and the Philippines began their annual military exercises. America said that this year’s drills were the first “full battle tests” of the countries’ forces in the South China Sea. Japanese forces will participate for the first time. In March Pete Hegseth, America’s defence secretary, said that America wanted to “re-establish deterrence” in the region.


Figure of the day: 17,000, the accumulated tonnes of rubbish on roadsides in Birmingham, Britain, after a strike by binmen. Read the full story.


Photograph: Getty Images

A monetary fix for China’s economy? 

“The Fix” is a recent sci-fi movie about a world-changing drug. It is also the informal name of the benchmark exchange rate of the yuan, set daily by China’s central bank, that anchors trading in the currency. After America imposed high tariffs on China this month, the fix has commanded close attention. Investors are wondering if China will now allow a rapid cheapening of the yuan to help exporters.

The fix is not the only tool in the central bank’s kit. It could also cut interest rates to boost demand. On Monday China made no change to the Loan Prime Rate, a reference point for mortgages. But it could cut its shorter-term policy rate before the end of this quarter, according to some economists. But the prime rate has moved first in the past. Monetary easing could spur borrowing and spending, but it could also damage the profitability of China’s banks. As the movie trailer puts it, “every drug has its price”.


Photograph: Getty Images

The World Bank pitches itself to Donald Trump

As a property mogul, Donald Trump has had a complicated relationship with banks. Now, as America’s president, he leads the largest shareholder of a very important one: the World Bank. Finance ministers and central bankers will gather in Washington on Monday for the spring meetings of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, in which America also has the biggest stake.

Scott Bessent, the treasury secretary, is expected to speak, presenting the Trump administration’s position on the organisations for the first time. It has already gutted USAID, which had been a big part of America’s contribution to global development. The World Bank’s boss, Ajay Banga, has pivoted from a climate agenda to one focused on jobs and the private sector. He hopes to convince Mr Trump that the bank is a smart investment. Joe Biden had pledged $4bn over the next three years in the World Bank’s most recent funding drive. The money is to be distributed to poor countries in cut-price loans. Mr Trump’s administration can fulfil the commitment—or revise it.


 
Photograph: Reuters

Thailand woos Trump

Asian leaders are trying different ways of dealing with Donald Trump’s trade war. China retaliated. But South-East Asia, which faces some of Mr Trump’s steepest levies, is trying to placate him. Vietnam has offered to buy more American liquefied natural gas and cut tariffs on imports to zero. Thailand, South-East Asia’s second-biggest economy (after Indonesia), is next to negotiate. Its exports risk a 36% levy. Its finance and commerce ministers will meet American officials on Monday.

Thai officials promise to boost American imports and to try to balance trade with Uncle Sam within ten years. They have also vowed to make sure other countries do not use Thailand to circumvent tariffs. America is Thailand’s biggest export market. And Thailand’s economy was struggling even before the tariff announcements. Growth is meagre and its export industries are dominated by old-school firms. Thai negotiators will hope Mr Trump is charmed by their latest offering: cutting tariffs on American sweetcorn.


Photograph: Getty Images

Trump nixes plastic eggs

The White House Easter Egg Roll, a tradition that dates back to the 1870s, takes place on Monday. Plans for the event were briefly scrambled after questions arose about whether it was appropriate to use real eggs amid a nationwide shortage. The festivities—which include an egg hunt and egg decorating, along with the famous egg-roll race—will require 30,000 eggs. “They were saying that for Easter, ‘Please don’t use eggs. Could you use plastic eggs?’ I say we don’t want to do that,” said Donald Trump earlier this month.

It was not clear who asked Mr Trump to use plastic eggs, but the president won some support from Emily Metz, head of the American Egg Board. “Continuing the celebration of the White House Easter Egg Roll will not create additional strain on the nation’s egg supply or egg prices,” she said. She pointed out that nearly 9m eggs are sold in America each day.

 

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During a visit to the White House El Salvador’s president, Nayib Bukele, said that a man mistakenly deported from Maryland would not be returned, despite a ruling by America’s Supreme Court to do so. Donald Trump’s administration has eagerly deported alleged gang members to a high-security prison in the Central American country. Mr Trump pledged to help El Salvador build new ones—and send more illegal migrants.


Pfizer halted the development of an obesity pill, known as danuglipron, after it was suspected of damaging the liver of a trial patient. The American pharmaceuticals giant has sought to enter the fast-growing market for weight-loss drugs as sales of its coronavirus products dry up. Investors flocked to its rival, Eli Lilly, whose shares jumped 1.7% in pre-market trading.


A group of American businesses sued the Trump administration to block its sweeping tariffs from taking effect, arguing that it overstepped its authority in imposing the levies. Bypassing Congress, Mr Trump announced hefty tariffs on April 2nd after he invoked an emergency economic-powers law. The suit argues that the threats Mr Trump cited—trade deficits—“are not an emergency”.


Russia admitted to a ballistic-missile strike on the Ukrainian city of Sumy on Sunday that killed at least 34 people, apparently contradicting Mr Trump’s claims that the attack had been “a mistake”. As American-sponsored peace talks stall, Russia has insisted that it was targeting military commanders. Earlier Friedrich Merz, Germany’s incoming chancellor, called the attack a “deliberate and calculated war crime”.


Goldman Sachs beat expectations in the first quarter of 2025 as its traders rode the stockmarket turmoil prompted by Mr Trump’s economic policies. The Wall Street bank posted profits of $4.7bn. Its equities division had a record quarter: revenues were 27% up on the first three months of 2024. On Friday its rivals, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, also reported strong results.


Meanwhile, sales at LVMH, the world’s biggest luxury conglomerate, fell in the first quarter. Revenues in fashion and leather goods, its largest division, were down 5% from a year ago. Luxury sales were declining even before the trade war between America and China added to the turbulence. LVMH acknowledged a “disrupted geopolitical and economic environment” in its quarterly report.


Second only to being a mother—that is how Katy Perry, a pop star, described going to space with the first all-female crew in half a century. Blue Origin, a firm owned by Jeff Bezos, blasted six celebrities (including Lauren Sánchez, his fiancée) above the Kármán line, which marks where outer space begins. They returned to Earth after around 10 minutes.


Figure of the day: 560 tonnes. The combined purchases of gold jewellery by Indians, the world’s biggest buyers, last year. Read the full story.


Donald Trump has begun his second term at a blistering pace. Keep up with his executive orders, legal challenges against them and what Americans think about it all on our presidential tracker.

 

Photograph: Reuters

Xi Jinping courts South-East Asia 

This week Xi Jinping is in South-East Asia, a region reeling from Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs. On Monday China’s leader landed in Vietnam, which Mr Trump hit with a 46% levy before pausing his plan. Mr Xi called for stronger trade ties with Vietnam and warned that there would be “no winner” from a “trade war and tariff war”. On Tuesday he will go to Malaysia. Cambodia, his final stop, is threatened with a 49% tariff, among the highest rates. (China is now subjected to an American tariff of 145%.)

America’s chaotic policies could help China gain influence. On his trip Mr Xi will announce investments in South-East Asia’s infrastructure and high-end manufacturing. He has a long-term strategy of binding the region’s economies more closely to China’s.

But the region has not given up on America. Cambodia, Malaysia and Vietnam are clamouring to negotiate with Mr Trump. And South-East Asian officials worry about another, growing threat: that Chinese manufacturers, unable to sell their goods  to America, will dump them on their region.


Photograph: Getty Images

Israel pushes deeper into Gaza

Israel appears ready to expand its military campaign in southern Gaza. Its forces have already forced out most residents of Rafah, a city near the border with Egypt. On April 12th they told civilians in neighbouring Khan Younis to evacuate, after rockets were fired from the area. “Gaza will become smaller and more isolated,” warned Israel’s defence minister, Israel Katz.

Whether Israel will push ahead with a full-scale offensive against Hamas remains unclear. The chief of staff of the Israel Defence Forces, Lieutenant-General Eyal Zamir, has warned the government that he may not have enough troops to carry out that mission. After 18 months of war Israeli reservists are fatigued. A proposal by Egypt may offer a way out. It envisions Hamas releasing some Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, another temporary truce and talks aimed at a longer ceasefire. Still, Israel’s plans for Gaza, and whether they include an agreement with Hamas, remain uncertain.

 


Photograph: dpa

Gloom deepens in Germany

On Tuesday ZEW, a German economic-research institute, will publish its economic-sentiment index, a closely watched measure of investor confidence, for April. The index reflects expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates over the next six months. In March it surged to 51.6 points, the highest reading in three years, up from 26 in February. (A higher reading reflects optimism.) The jump was driven by hopes for structural reforms under the incoming centre-right government to be led by Friedrich Merz.

But optimism is fading. America’s sweeping tariffs threaten to rattle Germany’s export-heavy economy. Carmakers are especially worried: America and China are the biggest markets for Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes and Porsche. The gloom runs deep: economic research institutes now warn that Germany could fall into its third consecutive year of recession—the first such run in the post-war era. After a moment of cheer over the promise of Mr Merz’s government, Tuesday’s reading will show how sharply Mr Trump’s tariffs have shifted sentiment.


Photograph: Getty Images

A push for peace in Sudan

Foreign ministers from nearly 20 countries will meet in London on Tuesday to discuss Sudan’s devastating civil war. The gathering is the latest attempt to solve a two-year-long conflict that has displaced 12m people and caused a severe famine. Britain, which is co-hosting the conference with Germany and France, joins a growing list of countries that have held talks aimed at increasing aid, ending the fighting or both.

Neither of Sudan’s main warring factions—the national army or the Rapid Support Forces, a paramilitary group accused of genocide in Darfur—has been invited. The goal of the meeting is to encourage the foreign powers that are backing the combatants to support a ceasefire. Among them is the United Arab Emirates, which supports the RSF. Last week the Sudanese army accused the UAE at the International Court of Justice of aiding the RSF’s atrocities. Its presence in London is likely to make for some uncomfortable conversations.

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