In a show of support, Xi Jinping, China’s president, invited Vladimir Putin to visit China “at a time convenient for him”. Mr Xi is in Moscow for talks with his counterpart in the Kremlin; the pair discussed China’s plan for ending the war, which has been disparaged by the West. America urged Mr Xi to press Mr Putin to withdraw Russian troops from Ukraine. Separately, Kishida Fumio, Japan’s prime minister, is making his first war-time visit to Ukraine for talks with President Volodymyr Zelensky.

London’s Metropolitan Police is guilty of “institutional racism, misogyny and homophobia” according to a scathing new report. Lady Louise Casey, who authored the year-long review, recommended that Britain’s largest police force should be overhauled or risk being broken up. The report was commissioned by the Met after the rape and murder of Sarah Everard by a serving officer in 2021.

Janet Yellen, America’s treasury secretary, said that the American banking system is stabilising, but that the government would provide further support to smaller banks if necessary. Shares in several regional lenders rose at the news, including those in First Republic, a troubled mid-sized bank. Meanwhile, European bank stocks rose in early trading, as investors took heart from UBS’s acquisition of Credit Suisse.

Peter Obi, a defeated third-party candidate in Nigeria’s presidential election last month, filed a court petition challenging the flawed vote. Pollsters had put Mr Obi well ahead in the race, but he was ultimately defeated by Bola Tinubu, the candidate for Nigeria’s incumbent ruling party. Legal challenges of this kind are common in Nigeria, but the country’s Supreme Court has never overturned an election.

Ukraine’s defence ministry said an explosion in Crimea destroyed several Russian cruise missiles, although it did not claim responsibility for the blast. The weapons were being transported by train to Russian ships on the Black Sea. A Russian-installed official in the peninsula, which was seized by the Kremlin in 2014, said the explosion was caused by drones that were targeting civilians.

France’s government survived two no-confidence votes, ensuring that President Emmanuel Macron’s controversial pension reforms will become law. The votes were triggered by Mr Macron’s decision to push through much-needed measures that raise the retirement age from 62 to 64 without parliamentary approval. Protests erupted across the country in response. Mr Macron’s popularity rating has fallen to just 28%, its lowest point since 2019.

The IMF approved a $3bn bailout for Sri Lanka. The country has been beset by an economic crisis because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and government mismanagement, which have created severe shortages and high inflation. The loan will be issued in nine tranches, with each one conditional on Sri Lanka’s adoption of reforms, including a restructuring of its reported $95bn-worth of public debt.

Fact of the day: 12.8%, the percentage by which Chinese exports to Russia increased in 2022. Read the full story.


PHOTO: EPA

Tremors in the banking system

Following another week of turmoil in global banking, UBS, a Swiss bank, announced on Sunday that it was acquiring Credit Suisse, its struggling Swiss rival, in a rescue deal that valued the latter at around SFr3bn ($3.2bn). As part of the deal, holders of Credit Suisse’s “additional Tier-1” bonds—a type of debt designed to absorb losses when a bank fails—were wiped out. This controversial move is reverberating through the market for similar debt, worth $275bn, as investors revise their expectations of what might happen in the unlikely event of another bank failure.

The enlarged UBS will now begin a knotty integration process with Credit Suisse. The new mega-bank will hold nearly one-third of the Swiss market and manage $3.4trn through its wealth-management division. The combined investment-banking business will see brutal cost-cutting in coming months, much of it inflicted on traders and dealmakers from Credit Suisse. Financial policymakers around the world will be fervently hoping the new union succeeds.

PHOTO: REUTERS

Donald Trump faces indictment

After years of unabated scandal, a pay-off to a porn actress may yield the first criminal charges against Donald Trump. For weeks a grand jury in Manhattan has been hearing evidence that America’s former president falsified business records to hide hush money paid to Stormy Daniels (née Stephanie Clifford), whom he allegedly slept with in 2006. A vote to indict him, which appears imminent, would cue the indignities of arrest: mugshot, finger-printing and a not-guilty plea.

The case is far from straightforward. To classify the allegedly fraudulent record-keeping as a felony, rather than a mere misdemeanour, prosecutors must prove that it facilitated a second crime, of falsifying campaign expenses. But the Federal Election Commission, a regulator, dropped its civil probe into that matter because of partisan deadlock among commissioners. And the prosecutors’ star witness—Michael Cohen, Mr Trump’s former lawyer—is himself a convicted felon. The outcome of any case is unpredictable but its place in the history books is assured.

PHOTO: AFP

An election for Wisconsin’s Supreme Court

On Tuesday two candidates for an open seat on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court will debate in Madison, the state’s capital. The election is being closely watched. At stake is a liberal or conservative majority on the highest legal authority in one of America’s closest swing states. Wisconsin’s governor and one of its two senators are Democrats. But thanks to gerrymandering, Republicans dominate lower-level races and are just one seat short of a supermajority in the state senate.

The contest in the Supreme Court could shift the balance in Wisconsin’s politics. If Janet Protasiewicz, a liberal judge, wins, the court may be able to overturn an archaic state law banning abortion. And it could compel the state to undo some of the gerrymandering devised by the Republican-dominated state house. Victory for her opponent, Daniel Kelly, would maintain conservative control over the court, which has held since 2008.

PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

Europe’s construction sector holds on

If there were a contest for the sector hardest hit by inflation and high interest rates, it would be a crowded field. Banks are currently in the lead, but construction firms could also be a solid bet. For them, higher rates means less demand from would-be house buyers. And higher prices for construction materials and energy shrink their margins.

So far, however, Europe’s construction sector is holding up. Figures released on Tuesday showed a construction rebound in January after a very weak December, with production in the euro area rising 3.9% in seasonally adjusted terms. And surveys of construction managers suggest that the sector’s overall confidence, while falling, is still higher than its average over the last twenty years or so.

Yet the number of new construction projects given the go-ahead is a cause for concern. In Germany, for instance, building permits issued for family dwellings fell by 26% in January compared with the year before. Europe’s builders will hope not to rival the continent’s banks for top spot anytime soon.

PHOTO: AP

A global baseball prize

America is the ancestral home of baseball. Yet curiously it has won the game’s international tournament— the World Baseball Classic, or, between 1938 and 2011, the Baseball World Cup—only five times in 43 attempts. American stars routinely skip the tournament as the risks of injury or suffering a humiliating loss outweigh the rewards; most of their fans care more about the domestic competition, Major League Baseball.

Yet the American team for this year’s competition, which concludes with the final on Tuesday, is strong. Mike Trout and Mookie Betts, two generational talents, are in the squad and will play in the final, when America will take on Japan. America’s general manager, Tony Reagins, said that securing Mr Trout’s participation made recruiting other players easier. A win would bring America its second successive title. That would make recruitment for the next edition, in 2026, much easier.

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The International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for President Vladimir Putin and Maria Lvova-Belova, Russia’s commissioner for children’s rights. The warrant alleges that the pair bear responsibility for the “unlawful deportation” of people from occupied areas of Ukraine to Russia, notably children. Russia does not recognise the court’s authority; if it ignores the warrant, the issue could be referred to the UN Security Council. President Joe Biden said the charges were justified as Mr Putin had “clearly committed war crimes”.

UBS is reportedly considering acquiring all or part of Credit Suisse at the request of Swiss regulators seeking to restore confidence in the country’s banking sector. The boards of Switzerland’s two biggest banks are expected to meet separately over the weekend to discuss the possible merger, according to the Financial Times. Credit Suisse’s stock fell by 8% on Friday amid widespread investor anxiety.

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s president, said that his country would start the process of ratifying Finland’s bid to join NATO, adding that he hopes Turkey’s parliament will approve the matter before elections scheduled for May. Hungary, another holdout, may acquiesce soon too. But there is little indication as to whether Sweden’s bid will gain approval from either country.

President Joe Biden asked Congress to expand regulators’ power to claw back compensation and capital gains from executives of failed banks. He cited stock sales worth $3.6m by the former boss of Silicon Valley Bank in February. SVB Financial Group—the bank’s former parent company, which no longer includes the deposit-taking business—filed for bankruptcy in an attempt to salvage value from the technology-investing and brokerage divisions.

America’s Justice Department has reportedly been investigating TikTok’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, since late last year for tracking American journalists who cover the company. ByteDance revealed last year that its employees inappropriately obtained the data of American TikTok users, including two reporters. The Biden administration recently asked ByteDance to sell the social-media app, which is banned on government phones in America.

The OECD, a club of mostly rich countries, said that central banks should continue raising interest rates as there needed to be “clear signs” that inflationary pressures had eased amid a “fragile” global economic recovery. The intervention comes amid concerns that worries about the stability of the banking system will encourage central bankers to ease back on efforts to tackle inflation.

Meta launched a subscription service for Facebook and Instagram in America. For $15 a month, mobile-phone users of the social-media platforms can verify their accounts and receive a blue badge along with other perks. The subscription is the latest example of a growing trend in the industry. Last year Snapchat and Twitter launched similar services to diversify revenues away from advertising.

Word of the Week: vihta, bouquets of birch branches used to slap the backs of enthusiasts in Finnish saunas, which are growing in popularity in Britain. Read the full story.


PHOTO: AP

Macron bets it all

Facing a knife-edge vote in parliament, Emmanuel Macron’s government on Thursday forced through his controversial plan to raise the retirement age from 62 to 64, in effect linking the measure to a vote of no confidence. The move ends six weeks of parliamentary debate—but few consider the matter closed. Thousands protested against Mr Macron’s decision on Friday and unions have called for a bumper turnout at demonstrations this weekend.

Inside parliament, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Marine Le Pen, leaders of parties of the hard left and right respectively, called for a no-confidence vote. If successful, that would annul Mr Macron’s measure and probably prompt fresh parliamentary elections less than a year into the lower house’s five-year term. Support for Mr Macron from the centre-right the Republicans party makes that unlikely. Still, Parisians hoping for their rubbish to finally be collected by striking binmen seem out of luck. Even Mr Macron’s watered-down pension proposals—diluted from an earlier plan—have caused a stink worthy of a Parisian cul-de-sac.

PHOTO: EPA

Crimea’s uncertain fate

Saturday marks nine years since Russia illegally annexed Crimea, a strategic peninsula jutting into the Black Sea. Rumours abound that President Vladimir Putin will speak at a large rally in Moscow to commemorate what he calls Crimea’s “reunification” with Russia. In truth, the annexation was a shameless land grab from Ukraine on the back of a bogus referendum. All but a handful of countries refuse to recognise it.

Nearly a decade after those events, Crimea’s fate again looks uncertain. Publicly, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, says his country can and will retake the peninsula, a position largely backed by his people. But the odds of a successful military assault on Crimea are steep. And many of Ukraine’s Western allies are reluctant to support any such attempt, worrying that it may lead Russia to escalate the conflict. Mr Putin has suffered numerous setbacks during the war; losing Crimea would be a humiliation from which his authority may not recover.

PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

Republicans walk a tightrope on abortion

America’s primary system means that presidential hopefuls must energise their base without repelling moderate voters. On abortion, Republicans used to have it both ways: they talked up pro-life values, but, in a country where a majority favours abortion access in most cases, Roe v Wade conveniently constrained them from doing much about it. No longer.

On Saturday the Palmetto Family Council, a conservative Christian group in South Carolina, will host a forum with Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy, two Republican candidates for president in 2024, among others. They will be pressed about how tightly to regulate the procedure. Since the Supreme Court overturned Roe and allowed states to set their own limits, pro-lifers have called for a federal abortion ban. Donald Trump has not endorsed that; it is unclear if others will. Ron DeSantis, Florida’s governor and a likely contender for the nomination, supports a six-week ban. Fully 75% of voters in his state, however, oppose that.

PHOTO: ©️ 2022 KEHINDE WILEY. COURTE

Kehinde Wiley reckons with racism

On Saturday Kehinde Wiley, an African-American artist, opens an extraordinary exhibition memorialising victims of state violence. “An Archaeology of Silence”, at the de Young Museum in San Francisco, is at once transcendent and a punch to the gut. In darkened galleries, spot-lit statues of black bodies lie recumbent like the fallen Christ. The walls, meanwhile, explode with vibrant colour and figures painted at billboard size. That tension—between death and life, mistreatment and resistance—is Mr Wiley’s way of forcing viewers to grapple with racism in America and elsewhere.

The work responds to the police killing of George Floyd and other black people, and the disproportionately high toll that covid-19 took on minorities. Mr Wiley, famously chosen to paint Barack Obama’s presidential portrait, is known for his lush images of African-Americans in art-historical poses. This show, he says, is a “kind of celebration that you see surrounding people who were fallen heroes, fallen gods”.

PHOTO: EYEVINE

Weekend Profile: Barney Frank, bank reformer

Of all those caught out in the recent banking crisis, the most surprising must be Barney Frank. As a Democratic congressman during the financial crisis of 2007-08, he helped craft the Dodd-Frank reforms designed to prevent another implosion. Yet there he was, 15 years later, sitting on the board of the failed Signature Bank, which regulators took control of last weekend. Mr Frank was supposed to have ensured that there be no more banking crises.

Mr Frank thinks New York regulators acted too hastily in closing down Signature. He argues it was specifically targeted to discourage other banks from getting too involved in cryptocurrencies. (Signature had served lots of crypto firms.) The authorities, meanwhile, say that the bank could not have opened “in a sound and safe manner” last Monday. The episode reminded anxious observers of Lehman Brothers, which failed to open on a Monday morning in September 2008.

Mr Frank says he was less interested in Signature’s crypto dealings than in its business of writing loans to developers building affordable housing, one of his life-long passions as a liberal Democrat. Born into a Jewish family in New Jersey in 1940, he got his start in Boston politics, then represented Massachusetts’s fourth congressional district from 1981 until 2013.

The rumpled, mumbling, often overweight congressional candidate was never going to win any votes for presentation, so an early campaign slogan was “Neatness isn’t everything”. In 1987, he became the first congressman to voluntarily “come out of the room”, as the House speaker at the time put it. Mr Frank has since campaigned strongly for gay marriage; he tied the knot in 2012, the first congressman to marry someone of the same sex while in office. His wit has both helped his causes and ruffled opponents. On abortion, he once quipped that “conservatives believe life begins at conception and ends at birth”.

The renegade reformer has argued that having a tough regulator sit on a bank board is a good thing. Critics are unpersuaded, but his track record suggests that he is unlikely to quiet down. On his first day of high school he was sent to the vice-principal’s office for speaking too much. Why stop now?

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America’s consumer price index rose by 6% year-on-year in February. Annual core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, was 5.5%, a 0.1 percentage-point drop from January. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank may well see the Fed ease tightening and opt for a quarter-point, rather than a half-point, interest-rate rise later this month.

Eva Högl, the German parliament’s defence ombudsman, said that “not a single euro or cent” had been spent of her country’s €100bn ($107bn) fund to modernise its run-down army. Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced the extra spending—double the annual defence budget—three days after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since then there has been little sign of increased military procurement.

American regulators will try again to find a buyer for Silicon Valley Bank, after a first auction for the collapsed lender failed to tempt any big banks, according to the Wall Street Journal. Other mid-tier banks’ share prices plunged amid fears that they would also face a run. First Republic’s fell by nearly 62% on Monday. Asian stocks, including in Japanese banks, dropped sharply when markets opened on Tuesday.

China said America, Australia and Britain were treading the “path of error and danger” by signing the AUKUS defence pact. On Monday the three Anglophone countries announced new details of the deal, aimed to counter Chinese naval strength in the Pacific. Australia will buy three of America’s Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines, with an option to buy two more.

Credit Suisse found “material weaknesses” in its financial reporting controls for the years 2022 and 2021. The weaknesses relate to the Swiss bank’s failure to maintain effective risk assessments in its financial statements. It is now adopting a remediation plan. Last week Credit Suisse had to delay the release of its now-published annual report, after regulators in America raised questions about its cash-flow statements.

Cyclone Freddy, the longest lasting tropical storm on record, killed more than 100 people in Mozambique and Malawi in overnight mudslides. Setting off from the coast of Australia, Freddy crossed the entire Indian Ocean before first hitting land at Madagascar. The storm, which has now persisted for 35 days and follows a rare loop trajectory, hit the southern African countries twice in one month.

Britain’s Office for National Statistics removed digital cameras, certain CDs, alcopops (colourful low-alcoholic beverages) and other relics of a bygone era from the basket of goods and services it uses to calculate inflation. Products like vegan spreads, e-bikes and frozen berries have replaced them. The new basket will inform Britain’s February inflation data, which will be released on March 22nd.

Fact of the day: 10%, the fall in enrolment in New York City’s public schools in the three years since the pandemic started. Read the full story.


PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

How Russia divides the world

On Tuesday Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, attended the inaugural meeting of the International Russophile Movement in Moscow. The organisation, which is linked to Tsargrad, a right-wing, Russian-Orthodox media group, aims to promote Russian culture and society abroad. Mr Lavrov’s spokesperson claims it will counteract the West’s “anti-Russia campaign”, and that delegates from “several dozen” countries will attend.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has seen it cast as an international pariah by many—but not all. Earlier this month only five countries (Belarus, Eritrea, Syria, North Korea and Russia itself) rejected a resolution in the UN General Assembly condemning the invasion, out of 181 that voted. But 35 others abstained, including China and India. Moreover, a study of global polling data by the University of Cambridge suggests that in some parts of the world, notably South and South-East Asia, as well as sub-Saharan Africa, public perceptions of Russia remain broadly positive. In such places, the information war still rages.

PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

Europe’s electricity market gets an update

Electricity markets are tricky to design—especially in Europe, where countries with vastly different energy policies must agree on common rules for electricity production and trading. The EU’s design came under heavy criticism in 2022 when energy costs soared. Like any homogenous good, electricity prices are set by the most expensive supplier. So profits at some power plants with low operating costs, such as wind farms, rocketed. Meanwhile, consumers and businesses had to be supported with billions in taxpayer money.

On Tuesday the European Commission will unveil proposals for an updated electricity market. Those hoping for sweeping changes will be disappointed. Instead the EU will introduce some long-term focus and stability to the market so as to protect consumers from the type of volatility seen last year. For example, countries will be allowed to support longer-term, fixed-price contracts between renewable generators and customers. A repeat of the crisis in 2022 is unlikely. But insulating the market for a more volatile, renewable future still makes sense.

PHOTO: REUTERS

Banking stocks in turmoil

The fallout from Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse is reverberating through markets. Other American regional lenders have been hit especially hard. On Monday two of them, First Republic Bank and Western Alliance Bank, saw their share prices fall by more than 61% and 47% respectively. For these and a clutch of other mid-tier banking stocks, trading was punctuated through the day by repeated pauses due to high volatility. The jitters have spread across the world: Europe’s Stoxx index of bank share prices was down by 7% on Monday. Asian stocks slumped as markets opened on Tuesday.

SVB was brought down by loading up on long-term securities, the value of which fell as interest rates rose; one fear is that after years of low rates others have been similarly reckless. Another concerns an old central-banking adage: that to quell inflation, the Federal Reserve must tighten monetary policy until something breaks. Contagion from SVB may be contained, but its failure suggests that the breakage phase is under way.

PHOTO: AP

San Francisco debates reparations for black residents

Reparations for slavery, under debate in America, are meant to acknowledge both the horrors of the slave trade and its legacy of racial discrimination. In 2019, Evanston, Illinois became the first city to approve a limited government-run reparations scheme, which will distribute $10m over ten years.

On Tuesday, San Francisco’s city council will hold its first public hearing about planned reparations to black residents harmed by past discriminatory policies. The committee that drafted the plan suggests the city should pay each eligible resident $5m, and create housing, education and health policies to tackle racial disparities.

Slavery was never legal in California, but committee members argue that the city owes black San Franciscans compensation for generations of discrimination. City officials seem unlikely to adopt the costly plan. The Hoover Institution, a conservative think-tank, estimates that the lump sums alone could cost the city, already operating with a budget deficit, up to $175bn. And details of how the scheme would be funded are scant.

PHOTO: ALAMY

A hit football TV series returns

Since 2020 “Ted Lasso”, a television series, has offered viewers a cheerful depiction of English football. Ted is an out-of-his-depth American coach hired to run AFC Richmond, a fictional Premier League club. For two series he won over his detractors with little more than kindness and southern charm, motivating players with a homemade sign reading “Believe”. His star players are generally decent.

Season three, released on Apple TV+ on Wednesday, introduces a touch more realism. Nate, a status-obsessed former assistant coach at Richmond, has taken charge at West Ham, a rival (and real) English club. He humiliates his players and takes potshots at Ted in the press. But Ted rises above the petty rivalry.

Yet “Ted Lasso” remains a feel-good comedy, skipping any mention of the human-rights violations, sexual-assault charges or dodgy financial dealings that dog the real sport. Perhaps the writers want viewers to believe that a better way is possible.

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