Volodymyr Zelensky,Ukraine’spresident, claimedhis forceswere “destroying”Russiantroops in the east and south of the country. He also said that Russia had launched an aerial assault on Ukraine on Tuesday, but almost all of its drones were shot down. The Kremlin accused Ukraine of planning an attack on Crimea, the peninsula annexed by Russia in 2014. Sergei Shoigu, Russia’s defence minister, warned that any strike on Crimea using Western weapons would drag America and Britain into the conflict.
President Joe Bidenreferred to Xi Jinping, his Chinese counterpart, as a “dictator”. During a fundraiser in California, Mr Biden remarked that Mr Xi did not know that theChinese balloonshot down earlier this year was carrying “spy equipment”, and that such unawareness is a “great embarrassment for dictators”. China is yet to respond to the comments.
Son Masayoshi,SoftBank’sboss, said the investment group will shift to “offence mode” after spending nearly three years selling assets and scaling back investments toshore up its finances. Speaking at SoftBank’s annual general meeting, Mr Son said that investments would focus on AI startups. The group reported an annual loss of $6.9bn in the financial year ending in March.
A Canadian aircraft reportedly detected “banging sounds” in the search zone for theTitansubmersiblethat wentmissing on Sunday. According to American media outlets, search crews heard the sounds at 30-minute intervals. America’s coast guard is leading the rescue effort across an area of 20,000 sq km (7,700 sq miles). It estimates that the submersible has 30 hours of oxygen left.
Hunter Biden, the son ofAmerica’s president, will plead guilty to two counts of wilful failure to pay federal income tax. Mr Biden has agreed to probation. He will also be charged, but not prosecuted, for having lied about his use of illegal drugs on a background-check form to buy a gun in 2018. The saga will now hang over the re-election campaign of President Joe Biden, who hasbackedhis son.
TheEuropean Commissionproposed adding €66bn ($72bn) to its seven-year budget, with €50bn earmarked tosupport Ukraineuntil 2027. Around €15bn will be used to tackle rising migration. The EU’s executive arm wants toreduce its economic exposureto rivals. A related plan, unveiled on Tuesday, would increase funding for emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence and renewable energy.
At least 41 women were killed—many of them burnt to death—after violent clashes between rival gangs at a women’s prison in Tamara,Honduras. The head of the country’s prison system blamed the violence on attempts to crack down on “organised crime” inside jails. Xiomara Castro, Honduras’s president, promised to respond with “drastic measures”.
Figure of the day:8%, the proportion by which bilateral aid to sub-Saharan Africa fell in real terms in 2022.Read the full story.
PHOTO: AP
Hunter Biden gets a deal
This week Hunter Biden, the American president’s famouslytroubled son, will appear in federal court in Delaware. On Tuesday Mr Biden reached a deal with prosecutors: he will plead guilty to two misdemeanours over his failure to pay more than $200,000 in taxes between 2017 and 2018, and serve a two-year probation for allegedly lying about his drug use on a background-check form when purchasing a gun. He will probably not serve prison time.
Donald Trump, who faces his own federal indictment, likened Mr Biden’s punishment to a “traffic ticket”. Prosecutors, he complained, had underhandedly “cleared everything up”. Indeed many Republicans have accused Hunter and Joe Biden of evading charges forcorruption, alleging that they took bribes from foreigners in exchange for policy concessions.
Republicans havefailedto substantiate those claims, though they are still trying. Instead their probe has revealed how Hunter Biden capitalised on his father’s name. That may be unseemly, but it is not illegal.
PHOTO: AP
The cost of rebuilding Ukraine
Russia’s war against Ukraine has devastated infrastructure, industry and housing. The World Bank estimates the cost of repairing the damage to be at least $411bn. On Wednesday a two-day conference in London will begin to discuss how to raise that money and how to spend it.
Delegates include diplomats from Ukraine and its allies, as well as big donors, multilateral financial institutions, businesses and civil-society groups. Ukraine wants the West to use frozen Russian funds to pay for reconstruction. Some in the room will be worried about corruption when massive donations are made.
One question is how much more detail Ukraine’s government can add to its previous plan, presented last July. Ukraine wants to “build back better”, raising infrastructure standards in line with the EU. But exactly where it rebuilds depends on how much territory it can reclaim from Russia. Meanwhile war damage, including the ecologically disastrous destruction of theKakhovka dam, continues to mount.
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Modi’s International Yoga Day
Narendra Modi will mark International Yoga Day on Wednesday by leading a mass session at the UN headquarters in New York. The annual celebration is a UN initiative that waslaunched, at the Indian prime minister’s urging, in 2015, the year after he came to power.
Critics of Mr Modi’sHindu-nationalist agendahave treated his yoga evangelism with suspicion, given the practice’s Hindu origins. “Om”—a yoga chant—is considered a sacred sound in Hindu scripture. The Sun Salutation, a common set of yoga poses, is associated with Hindu prayer. Others note that yoga’s popularity in the West, which Yoga Day is intended to reinforce, is positive and culturally inclusive.
Mr Modi, who urges practising yoga daily, appears to have been mainly motivated to underline the activity’s association with India. It is one of the many examples of the prime minister’sflair for brandingand marketing—of his country and himself.
PHOTO: AFP
Britain’s stubborn inflation troubles
Figures due on Wednesday will probably show that Britain’s annual rate of consumer-price inflation fell again in May, from April’s 8.7%. But on Thursday the Bank of England will all but certainly raise its benchmark interest rate, currently 4.5%, for the 13th consecutive meeting. Inflation in Britain is not only the highest in the G7 but looking worryingly persistent. The “core” measure (excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco) rose unexpectedly in April. In a still-tight labour market, wage growth has picked up.
Fretful markets have priced in higher rates. Two-year gilt yields are above the peak that followed last autumn’scatastrophic mini-budget, and this week briefly topped 5%. Mortgage-holders whose fixed-rate deals are ending face eye-watering increases: the average two-year rate now exceeds 6%, reports Moneyfacts, a data provider, against 2.59% in June 2021. The central bankseems baffled. Having been too optimistic about inflation, it is commissioning an external review of its forecasting. Its 2% target seems far off.
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Where are Glastonbury’s female headliners?
Too few showers mean many revellers at the Glastonbury Festival, which is Britain's largest and begins on Wednesday, will be stale, pale and male. But they do not expect the same of the acts. Emily Eavis, the organiser, aspires to fill half of the lineup with female artists. She also consciously books acts from a range of genres and ethnic backgrounds. But when it comes to picking headliners, she says that is difficult.
The star acts this year—Arctic Monkeys, Elton John and Guns n’ Roses—are all white men who are veterans of the music business. The industry has a “pipeline” problem, Ms Eavis argues, with too few female-fronted acts getting the investment or radio airplay needed to become headliners. Others argue thatLizzo, a black female pop star who will perform before Guns n’ Roses, could have had their slot. But the problem goes beyond Glastonbury. According to Sky News across 104 British festivals this summer, only a fifth of headline acts are fronted by women.
Antony Blinken,America’s secretary of state, met Xi Jinping,China’s president, in Beijing. After the meeting Mr Xi reported that the two sides had “made progress and reached agreement on some specific issues”. Yesterday Mr Blinken met Wang Yi, China’s most senior diplomat. After that meeting, Mr Wang saidboth countriesmust choose between “cooperation or conflict.” On the issue of Taiwan Mr Wang said China had “no room to compromise”, according to Chinese state media. Mr Blinken’s visit to China follows ameetingbetween President Joe Biden and Mr Xi at the G20 summit in Bali last November.
Ukrainemade “small advances” in its counter-offensive amidheavy fightingalong the frontline in the country’s south, according to British intelligence.Russia’sdefensive operations were “relatively effective”, it said. But a Russian-appointed official acknowledged that Ukraine had recaptured the village of Piatykhatky, in the Zaporizhia region. Military analysts have cautioned that Ukraine’s attempt to retake occupied areas along the 1,000km (620-mile) frontline will be heavy going.
Israeliforces raided a refugee camp in the West Bank, killing three people and wounding at least 29, according toPalestinian officials. Israel’s army said its troops were attacked first, after they had entered the camp to arrest two terrorism suspects. Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister, called for a “large-scale operation” in the West Bank.
TheEUsigned a trade deal withKenya. The country will have tariff-free access to the bloc’s market, and will also gradually open its market to EU imports. The deal also included an agreement to collaborate on sustainability commitments, including on climate change. The EU is already Kenya’s largest export market; total trade between the two was worth €3.3bn ($3.6bn) in 2022.
Australia’ssenate voted to hold a constitutional referendum on recognising the rights ofindigenous peoples. If approved, the constitution will be changed to allow for the creation of an indigenous advocacy group to parliament. Aboriginal people, who make up 3% of the population, played no part in drafting Australia’s constitution and were not accorded any special rights in it.
ARussianwarship rescued 68 people from a boat on theMediterranean, according to the country’s defence ministry. Passengers were safely transferred from the ship to Greek coastguard boats. Earlier, authorities inPakistanarrested 12 alleged human traffickers in connection with the shipwreck of amigrantboat offGreece’s coastlast week that killed at least 78 people. The vessel was carrying hundreds of people.
“Elemental”,Pixar’slatest release, suffered the worst opening weekend in the studio’s 28-year history. Despite favourable reviews, the animated film brought in only $30m in ticket sales in North America. Pixar’s last release, “Lightyear”, was also a flop. The results heap more pressure on Disney, Pixar’sbeleaguered parent company.
On Monday another trial of Alexei Navalny, Russia’smost prominent dissident, begins. It is taking place at a penal colony some 250km (150 miles) east of Moscow, where the politician has been imprisoned for the past year.
Since his arrest in January 2021, Mr Navalny has beenconvictedof parole violation, fraud and contempt of court. Now the Kremlin is adding spurious charges of extremism and terrorism. If Mr Navalny is found guilty, as is almost certain, he could face 35 years in jail.
The charges show the role the courts are playing in carrying out the Kremlin’sincreasingly repressive policies. As Vladimir Putin’s bloody and expensiveinvasion of Ukrainegrinds on, he is suppressing dissent back home. Last week, Lilia Chanysheva, a co-ordinator for Mr Navalny’s political office in Bashkortostan, a region in central Russia, was jailed for seven and a half years on extremism charges. In Mr Putin’s Russia, it is becoming increasingly costly to speak out.
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Imran Khan is losing his battle
Imran Khan is in a precarious position. On Monday the bail granted to him in a corruption case will probably be extended again, staving off a looming arrest. Pakistan’s former prime minister has suffered aspectacular reversal of fortunesin recent weeks. Until early May the country’smost popular politicianlooked on course to force Shehbaz Sharif, the prime minister, into early elections—or at least to be odds-on to win a vote later in the year. But after Mr Khan’s supporters attacked military installations on May 9th, Pakistan’s powerful army set about dismantling his base.
Thousands of Mr Khan’s followers have been arrested; many face trial in military courts. His party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, disintegrated as senior leaders defected; the government has mooted banning it. Media have been told not to broadcast Mr Khan’s speeches or even mention his name. Threatened with jail, deprived of political support and the oxygen of publicity, the flamboyant rabble-rouser looks increasingly lonely and powerless.
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Paris Air Show takes off again
The aerospace and defence executives, industry analysts, journalists and hangers-on pounding the baking tarmac at Le Bourget airport will do so with springs in their steps this year. The first Paris Air Show since 2019, which starts on Monday, will probably bring a glut of orders for passenger jets. Order books at Boeing, the American planemaker, and Airbus, its European rival, are already stuffed asair travel bounces backwith a vengeance. And the war in Ukraine is boosting military spending by governments around the world. Defence companies will be keen to show off their newest kit.
There will be plenty of talk about decarbonising air travel, with companies that plan to launch battery-poweredflying taxisin the coming years converging on the show too. None has yet carried passengers, but by the end of a long day in the heat, the promise of aquick flightfrom the suburbs of Paris to the city centre will seem worth waiting for.
PHOTO: AP
Trump’s post-indictment glow
When Bret Baier, Fox News’s senior political correspondent, last interviewed Donald Trump, it was aboard Air Force One in 2018. The then-president was in negotiations with North Korea’s dictator, Kim Jong Un. His concessions in atentative agreementon Korea’s denuclearisation alarmed many Republican lawmakers.
On Monday Mr Baier will sit down again with Mr Trump, who is now tussling with America’s Justice Department. But more Republicans have his back this time. Last week Mr Trump was charged with 37 felonies related to an alleged mishandling of classified documents. At least 100 Republicans in Congress have questioned the validity of hisstunning indictment; about 76 fully reject it.
Expect Mr Baier to let Mr Trump air his grievances. But even Fox’s support has its limits. A recent town hall with Mr Trump was pre-recorded, so that any references he made to a “stolen” election in 2020—a claim similar to one that cost Fox $787.5m in arecent legal settlement—could be edited out.
PHOTO: BASSO CANNARSA / OPALE.PHOTO
Lorrie Moore’s haunting story of lost love
“Everyone at some point in their lives should have a long great love affair with a magnificent lunatic,” declares Finn, a melancholic schoolteacher, in the beautifully idiosyncratic “I Am Homeless if This is Not My Home” byLorrie Moore, an American novelist. The deceptively slender volume, published on Tuesday, ponders heavy themes, such as love, death, suicide and the meaning of life. But its true power lies in the almost antic ingenuity of each sentence.
Does Finn actually spot his beloved ex-girlfriend wandering around the cemetery where she has just been buried, smelling vaguely of rot? Do they really embark on a road trip, discussing their love and trials? Perhaps Finn is simply undone by his grief. Yet Ms Moore seems to be probing how we are all haunted by past loves, unhealed wounds and slipping memories. As Finn observes: “no longer caring about a thing was key to both living and dying. So was caring about a thing.”
Russialaunched 12 missiles and two drones atKyivasAfrican leadersarrived in the Ukrainian capital to broker peace talks. The rockets were shot down by thecity’s air defences, according to the Ukrainian air force. The African delegation, which includes the presidents ofSouth Africaand Zambia, will meet with Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, before travelling to St Petersburg on Saturday to meet Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president. Ukraine’s foreign minister said the attack was evidence that “Russia wants more war, not peace.”
TheUNsuggested that the use oftorturebyRussian forcesin Ukrainemay be “state-endorsed”. Alice Jill Edwards, the UN special rapporteur on torture, said she was alarmed by “reports and testimonies” that appeared to indicate that Russia was “intentionally inflicting severe… pain and suffering” on civilian and military prisoners. She and other UN experts have written to the Kremlin about their concerns.
TheInternational Monetary Fundurged the European Central Bank to further restrict monetary policy, a day after the ECB raisedinterest ratesby a quarter of a percentage point to 3.5%, their highest level in 22 years. The IMF said a “sustained period” of tightened policy would be needed to ward off “persistently high” inflation.
Intel, an American chipmaker, will build a $4.6bn semiconductor assembly plant inPolandas it ramps up investments in Europe. Last year the company announced plans for a€17bn factoryin Germany, but has since demanded an additional €3bn in government subsidies, citing inflation. Some analysts think the Polish plant—which is the largest greenfield investment in the country’s history—will encourage Germany to acquiesce.
Emmanuel Macron, France’s president, hostsPrince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s crown prince, in Paris on Friday. The meeting marks a diplomatic rehabilitation forMBS, nearly five years after thegrizzly murderof Jamal Khashoggi, a veteran journalist, in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. Human-rights activists have accused Mr Macron of hypocrisy.
BlackRocksought approval from America’ssecurities watchdogto offer abitcoin exchange-traded fundon the Nasdaq stockmarket. The launch of the first-of-its-kind ETF by the world’s largest asset manager would be welcome news for the cryptocurrency industry, which has been squeezed by regulators in recent months. The Securities and Exchange Commission, however, has previously rejected similar applications.
Japanoverhauled itssex-crime legislation, broadening the legal definition of rape, criminalising photo voyeurism and raisingthe age of consentfrom 13 to 16. The landmark move follows a string of rape acquittals in 2019, which spurred national outcry and prompted a widespread social movement against sexual violence. Japan had not changed its age of consent since 1907.
Figure of the day:$2.1trn, the American government’s revenue shortfall in the year to May—equivalent to 8.1% of GDP.Read the full story.
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The Bank of Japan sticks to ultra-loose policy
SinceUeda Kazuotook over as the Bank of Japan’s governor in April, he has bolstered his reputation as a man of restraint. Speculation has been rife that the bank might exit from itsultra-loose monetary policy. But Mr Ueda insists it will “patiently” maintain its approach, which was designed to haul the country out of decades of deflation. After the bank concluded a two-day meeting on Friday, Mr Ueda decided to continue existing policies including yield-curve control, which caps ten-year government-bond yields.
Now inflation is back. Prices excluding fresh food and fuel rose by 4.1% in April from a year earlier—the biggest increase in four decades. Some analysts suggest this heralds the beginning of a virtuous cycle, which will lift wages and consumer spending. But the evidence so far is thin. Wages have risen by just 1% over the past year, meaning workers are enduring pay cuts in real terms.
PHOTO: EPA
Britain’s sky-high food prices
Tesco, Britain’s biggest supermarket, published a quarterly trading statement on Friday. Total sales in Britain stood at £10.8bn, a 9.3% increase from last year. The update for investors comes amid pressure from politicians to tackle Britain’scost-of-living crisis. According to the Office for National Statistics, hard-pressed consumers now fret more aboutrising food pricesthan they do about the cost of energy. The ONS estimates that food is dearer by around a fifth than it was a year ago, the second-highest jump in more than 45 years.
The Conservative government has suggested an agreement with leading supermarkets to cap prices of some basic items such as milk and bread. The British Retail Consortium, a trade body, says the plan will not work. It blames the higher costs that retailers are incurring for energy and labour. For its part, Tesco says it expects its operating profit to remain broadly flat this year.
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SCOTUS season heats up
America’s Supreme Court justices have just two weeks to release 20 decisions in cases heard between October and April. The most important of the three rulings handed down on Thursday was inHaaland v Brackeen, a 7-2 decision rebuffing an attempt to hobble theIndian Child Welfare Act. This law, enacted in 1978, protects Native American children from being removed from their families and tribes. Only Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas agreed with plaintiffs’ claims that the law amounted to congressional overreach.
More decisions are expected to arrive on Friday. Does the First Amendment give a Christian web designer the right to refuse to make websites for gay weddings, a state anti-discrimination law notwithstanding? Can President Joe Biden proceed with his plan to relieve millions of borrowers of a portion of their student debt? How generously must employers accommodate workers’ religious beliefs? Israce-based affirmative actionin university admissions compatible with the constitution? Stay tuned.
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Can “Bazball” win England the Ashes?
The Ashes, a biennial cricket series between Australia and England, is steeped in tradition. But this year’s edition, which started on Friday at the Edgbaston ground in Birmingham, will feature something radical. Over the past year, England has revolutionised Test cricket by injecting pace into a very slow game. English batsmen have been scoring at five runs an over, when the norm is closer to three. Thishyper-aggressive style, nicknamed “Bazball” after Brendon McCullum, the team’s coach, has borne fruit: England have won 11 of their past 13 Tests, a form of cricket match that lasts five days, many in record-breaking manner.
The matches against Australia will be Bazball’s toughest test yet: the Aussies won Test cricket’s world championship last week. Still, England could yet lay claim to being the world’s best team. According to ourown Test-cricket rankings, if they were to win three tests in the five-match series then they would leapfrog Australia and India into top spot.
PHOTO: ROGER DO MINH/POP. 87 PRODUCTION
Wes Anderson’s “Asteroid City”
The robin’s-egg blue skies and sandy stretches of desert in “Asteroid City” evoke a Kodachrome postcard. This charming film is the latest marvel of design fromWes Anderson, an American director who delights fans with his pastel palettes and deadpan characters. In this movie Mr Anderson lovingly and comically sketches a mourning family’s adventures during a science convention for child prodigies, set in a flyspeck town in the mid-century American West.
Mr Anderson’smeticulously crafted world has a crucial quality that a lot of studio output lacks: personality. That extends to the cast. Scarlett Johansson plays a droll film starlet whose daughter is among the prodigies; Jeffrey Wright is a military general who emcees the convention. “Asteroid City” feels nostalgic for a bygone Hollywood era of top-notch production values and casts. Mr Anderson’s distinctive aesthetic has inspired parodies, but the gently bittersweet heart of this film suggests that there is more than meets the eye in his elaborate concoctions.
Donald Trumppled not guilty to 37 charges stemming from his allegedmishandling of classified documents. America’s former president was arraigned at a federal courthouse in Miami, and joined in court by Waltine Nauta, his personal aide and co-defendant. Mr Trump was neither handcuffed nor required to give a mugshot. Local police earlier said they were preparing for crowds of up to 50,000 around the courthouse, but only several hundred protesters turned up.
Russian missiles killed six people in Odessa, a city in southern Ukraine, and Donetsk, an eastern region, according to local officials. The strikes came asVladimir Putin,Russia’s president, claimed without evidence thatUkrainehad suffered “catastrophic losses” in itscounter-offensive. Mr Putin also ruled out the need for any further mobilisation in Russia.
Nvidia, a chipmaker, ended trading on Tuesday with a valuationover $1trn, becoming the seventh American company to do so. Shares in the firm have risen 181% this year, driven by booming demand for its semiconductors, which power generative artificial-intelligence systems. Nividia’s stock closed at $410.22, having risen 3.9% over the day. Its market capitalisation stood at around $1.01trn.
America’sSecretary of State, Antony Blinken, spoke toChina’sforeign minister, Qin Gang, ahead of an expected visit to Beijing. Mr Qin urged America to “stop interfering” in China’s affairs, while Mr Blinken advocated for communication “to avoid miscalculation and conflict”. Mr Blinken’s planned visit to China in February was postponed aftera suspected Chinese spy balloonwas shot down over American territory.
Britain’s economyreturned to growth in April as GDPincreasedby 0.2% compared with the previous month. The expansion, which partially reversed a 0.3% contraction in March, was driven by the services sector. The positive GDP figures, coupled with strong labour-market data released on Tuesday, increase the chances that the central bank will raise interest rates again next week.
Mass evacuationstook place inIndiaandPakistanas the countries prepare for Cyclone Biparjoy, which is expected to make landfall on Thursday. In Gujarat, a western Indian state, almost 38,000 people had been moved, according to the regional government. Heavy rains and high winds have already killed seven people in India’s coastal areas.
Cormac McCarthy, one of America’s most lauded novelists, died aged 89 at his home in Santa Fe, New Mexico. He won the Pulitzer prize for “The Road” in 2007, and the National Book Award for “All the Pretty Horses” in 1992. Those two books became films, as did “No Country for Old Men”, which won four Oscars.
Figure of the day:18m, the number of Indian migrants spread around the globe, according to the latest UN estimates from 2020.Read the full story.
PHOTO: REUTERS
Russia’s answer to Davos falls flat
On Wednesday the St Petersburg International Economic Forum, the biggest event ofRussia’seconomic calendar, kicks off. The talking-shop has previously attracted everyone from the secretary-general of the United Nations to the president of France. The cost of attendance ($25,000) is supposed to reflect the opportunities for schmoozing.
But this year will be different. True, Russia’s finance minister andcentral-bankgovernor are expected to attend. President Vladimir Putin will probably stop by. Yet few other dignitaries will participate in the discussions, which will cover weighty subjects such as “technological sovereignty in agribusiness”. Western journalists are not allowed to take part; Western businesspeopledo not want to. Indeed it is not clear that any world leaders are planning to make the trip. The event is billed as Russia’s answer to the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum at Davos, a Swiss mountain resort. Instead, it merely highlights the country’s isolation on the global stage.
PHOTO: REUTERS
Lebanon tries to pick a new president, again
After 11 failed attempts, Lebanon’s parliament willtry againon Wednesday to elect a president to replace Michel Aoun, whose term ended in October. Previous votes were a farce: many MPs cast blank ballots or failed to show up. Do not expect progress this time. The apparent front-runner is Jihad Azour, a former finance minister, who announced his candidacy on Monday after denying for months that he wanted the job. Christian parties and independent MPs have endorsed Mr Azour, whose economic expertise would be useful. The country has been mired in a financial crisis since 2019.
Still, he faces fierce opposition from Hizbullah, the Shia militia-cum-political-party. It wants Suleiman Frangieh, a veteran politician close to the regime ofBashar al-Assad, Syria’s president, to fill the job. ManyLebanesethink the parties supporting Mr Azour are in fact doing so to try and convince Hizbullah to dump Mr Frangieh and back a lesser-known consensus candidate. With little prospect of that, the deadlock looks set to continue.
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Germany’s first National Security Strategy
Before taking office in late 2021, Germany’sthree-party coalitionsought to reassure voters it would govern wisely. Its pledges included drafting a National Security Strategy, a first for the country. Delayed by Russia’s war on Ukraine and internal wrangling, the document will finally be released on Wednesday.
The strategy will probably commit to strengthening Germany’s trans-Atlantic and European alliances. That means reaffirming a commitment to raise defence spending to 2% of GDP—a longstanding promise to NATO that Germany has failed to meet. Buttalk is cheap: analysts will pore over the wording for firm details. The text may also skirt tough topics, such as how to steer betweenGerman economic interests in Chinaand the growing rivalry between the Asian military power and America. Still, it is the ambition underpinning the statement that counts: in a more dangerous world, Germany is recognising the need to step up.
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Monitoring the Zaporizhia nuclear plant
A new team of monitors from the International Atomic Energy Agency, a UN nuclear watchdog, could arrive at theZaporizhia nuclear-power facilityin occupied southern Ukraine as early as Wednesday. Fears of a possible nuclear accident areheightened. The plant drew water to cool its reactors from the Kakhovka reservoir, which was destroyed with the bursting of ahuge damin the neighbouring Kherson region.
After the dam explosion, IAEA staff said that there was “no immediate risk” to the facility as it stores enough water for a few months nearby. The new monitoring team will assess these water reserves and the plant’s cooling systems. Yet the dam’s destruction, probably by the Russians, has also introduced an ominous possibility that will hang over the team’s work. It’s now highly unlikely that the plant’s reactors, which have been in “shutdown” modes for months, could be fired up to generate electricity in the foreseeable future. If deemed useless by the Russian occupiers, it is possible that they might sabotage the plant, perhaps before a retreat.
PHOTO: CAPITAL PICTURES
“The Full Monty” back on screens
A quarter of a century after their one-night-only striptease, the six former steelworkers who were the heroes of “The Full Monty” are back. An eight-part drama series of the same name is out on Wednesday on Hulu in America and Disney+ elsewhere. Released in 1997, the original film was a surprise international hit. Its many fans fondly recall the scene in which the men dance to “Hot Stuff” in a dole queue in Sheffield, a city in Yorkshire.
In the television reprise, things are the same but different. The group’s ringleader is once again Gaz (played by Robert Carlyle), a chancer with a heart of gold; his best friend Dave (Mark Addy) is still married to Jean (Lesley Sharp). But do not expect the greybeards to get their kit off again. There are plenty of fully clothed high jinks, but the plot focuses on the friends’ enduring struggles as they navigate the impact of government austerity and the caprices of the welfare state.
Donald Trumpsaid he had been indicted for mishandling classified documents at Mar-a-Lago, his estate in Florida. America’s Justice Department did not confirm the charges, which would be the first to be brought by federal prosecutors against a former president. (Mr Trump faces aseparate criminal indictment, filed by prosecutors in New York.) According to media reports, the charges include conspiracy to obstruct justice and willful retention of secret documents. Mr Trump says he is due to report to court in Miami on Tuesday.
President Vladimir Putin saidRussiawill move tacticalnuclear weaponsinto Belarus next month, during a meeting with his Belarusian counterpart, Alexander Lukashenko. According to Mr Putin, the facilities to store nukes will be ready by July 7th or 8th. Russiaresupplies its forcesfrom Belarusian territory but the deployment of a nuke in Belarus would mark an escalation of the country’s role in the war in Ukraine.
Ukraine’s internal security service said that it had intercepted a call that proves a Russian “sabotage group” blew up theKakhovka dam. BothRussiaandUkrainehave blamed each other for the dam’s destruction, which has floodedKherson, a region in south-east Ukraine. Residents have been left stranded and without drinking water. Some of those trying to escape have been shelled.
Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, hailed “results” inheavy fightinginDonetsk, a region in the country’s east. Hanna Maliar, the deputy defence minister, saidRussianforces were “actively on the defensive” around Orikhiv, a city in the south-eastern province of Zaporizhia, whereUkrainehas also launched attacks. Russia denied that Ukraine had achieved any breakthroughs.
TheFrenchgovernment announced that 75 food companies had agreed to lower their products’ prices in line with falling commodity costs. French officials believe food firms have unfairlyboosted their profitsby raising prices by more than is needed to cover higher wholesale costs. Bruno Le Maire, France’s finance minister, said the government would “name and shame” firms that refused to participate in the scheme.
Smokefrom wildfires inCanadacontinued drifting towardsAmerica. Philadelphia and Washington, DC, recorded “very unhealthy”air qualitylevels. But the worst appears to have passed elsewhere, with air quality improving across much of America’s north-east, including in New York City. The state of New York, along with Maine and New Hampshire, will send forest rangers to Canada to help manage the wildfires.
Hafize Gaye Erkan, a former banker for Goldman Sachs, was appointed as the head ofTurkey’scentral bank—an indication the country may soon abandon its unorthodox monetary policy. Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the president, has repeatedly strong-armed the bank into slashing interest rates, despite vertiginous inflation. But, following his re-election in May, Mr Erdogan has shifted towards moreconventional economics.
Figure of the day: 20m, the approximate number of people that travel by rail in India each day.Read the full story.
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China’s faltering recovery
China’s state-owned enterprises have weathered the country’s recent economic setbacks better than most firms. Their pay and profits have been relatively resilient. That may help explain the frenzied online reaction this week when the married boss of a state-owned engineering firm in Beijing was photographed breezily out shopping with a young female employee holding his hand. Overall, consumer confidence is still weak and retail sales disappointing, though both have recovered a little this year.
How should policymakers respond to China’s faltering recovery? Elsewhere, central bankers’ hands are tied by high inflation, which obliges them to keep monetary policy tight. But in China inflationis dangerously low. Data out on Friday showed that consumer prices rose by only 0.2% year on year in May. This week China’s big banks said they would cut interest rates on many deposits. That could pave the way for the central bank to lower the interest rate on loans. Meanwhile the interest in scandals seems strong.
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Progress in treating Alzheimer’s
Carers for the 6.7m Americans currently living with Alzheimer’s, the most common cause of dementia, should pay close attention to a meeting on Friday of a committee of the Food and Drug Administration. It may grant “traditional” approval to Leqembi (a brand name forlecanemab), a drug produced by Eisai of Japan and America’s Biogen. Leqembi won “accelerated” approval in January.
The change is more than semantic: it would mean that the FDA accepts that Leqembi offers proven clinical benefits—ie, that it actually slows cognitive decline. The earlier approval—like one granted two years ago to Aduhelm (aducanamab), another drug—was based on its effectiveness in attacking a build-up of protein plaques in the brain, a possible cause of Alzheimer’s. Traditional approval would also unlock coverage from both Medicare (federal health-insurance for the elderly) and private insurers. With Eli Lilly, a pharmaceutical giant, hoping to win approval for a similar medicine this year, glimmers of hope are at last flickering for those with early-stage Alzheimer’s.
PHOTO: AP
Russia’s surprising economic stability
Following its latest monetary-policy meeting on Friday, Russia’s central bank is expected to leave interest rates at 7.5%—their pre-war level. Not long ago such loose monetary policy would have been unthinkable. When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 the rouble tanked, causing inflation to spike. The central bank quickly raised rates to an astonishing 20%.
Even with this extraordinary policy in place, many were surprised by how quickly inflation subsequently came down. The rouble stabilised. Inflation expectations, which had mounted, fell once more. That has allowed the central bank to cut rates aggressively, supporting the economy. Energy prices, pushed up by the war, have fallen in recent months but, according to “real-time” data on everything from business confidence to consumer surveys, Russia’s GDP is growing about as quickly as before the pandemic—not fast, but considerably faster than expected. TheRussian economyis poorer than it was before February 2022. But it is, against the odds, stable.
PHOTO: GETTY/REUTERS
Republicans converge in North Carolina
This weekend in Greensboro, North Carolina, Republicans hoping to lead the state will rub shoulders with those hoping to govern the country. The North Carolina Republican Party is hosting its annual convention of GOP candidates for local, state and national office. The speaking slots are much coveted—and prime podium time is carefully allocated.
Ron DeSantis, the Republican presidential candidate who is polling in second place, will address the Old North State dinner on Friday.Mike Pence, a former vice-president who jumped into the race on Wednesday, gets Saturday’s First in Freedom lunch. But the best speaking spot, at the Grand Old Party dinner on Saturday, will go to Donald Trump, who won North Carolina in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. (Expect him to have some choice words on his latest indictment.)
Republicans have so far been cautious about criticising the former president but—now that the field is growing more crowded—an elbow or two has emerged. As Mr Trump said recently, “this is a war of a certain kind.”
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Saudi Arabia plays the long game
After the golfing merger between the PGA Tour in America, the DP World Tour in Europe and the Saudi-funded LIV Golf on Wednesday, where will Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern governments invest next? The merger certainly represents an intensification of Saudi’s sports-investment programme. Although buying Premier League football clubs (such as Newcastle United) is expensive, taking control of an entire sport is a much more ambitious enterprise. That is what the merger amounts to: the PGA Tour has bent to the Saudi Public Investment Fund’s wishes.
Middle Eastern countries will continue to persuade fading footballers based in Europe—such as Cristiano Ronaldo, though not Lionel Messi—to play in their domestic leagues. Saudi Arabia remains determined to bid for the 2030 football World Cup. It also has a long-standing interest in launching a short-format cricket franchise that would be richer even than theIndian Premier League. The lesson from golf is that, no matter how vociferous the protest and disavowals, money eventually makes things happen.