Despite the danger posed by contaminated water, many states have no idea

Dec 2nd 2021
 

Lead is strong, malleable and doesn’t leak. For these qualities it was regarded, in America and other places, as a fine material with which to make pipes to bring water to people’s homes. Unfortunately, lead is also highly toxic and can leach into water as it corrodes. High levels of lead cause health problems from heart disease to brain damage. It is especially dangerous for children. As early as the 1920s many American cities and states limited or banned the use of lead in pipes. (Lead in paint was banned in 1978 and it is no longer added to petrol.) But the federal government did not fully ban the installation of new lead pipes until 1986. Even then it allowed existing pipes to remain in the ground. The trouble is, no one is sure where they all are.


The Environmental Protection Agency estimates that there are between 6m and 10m lead service lines in America but does not publish a breakdown of where. In 2018 it requested, for the first time, that all states report by 2022 on the quantity of lead pipes still in use. Efforts by another organisation to collect this data show how difficult this is. Earlier this year the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC), an environmental charity, asked states to provide estimates for their lead pipes. Just ten states and the District of Columbia were able to provide full estimates. Another 23 states said they did not track the number of lead pipes. Three were in the middle of surveys. The rest failed to respond or submitted incomplete data. (Using supplementary data from a 2016 survey by the American Water Works Association, an industry body, the NRDC estimates that there are between 9.7m and 12.8m lead pipes in America serving as many as 22m people.)

In 2018, the state of Michigan mandated that all its lead pipes be removed by 2041, making it the first state to implement such a rule. The people of Michigan know the dangers. In 2014 the city of Flint suffered a public-health disaster after its municipal government began extracting water from the Flint River, which was contaminated with lead, poisoning locals and children. More recently attention has turned to Benton Harbor, just three hours from Flint, where water has tested above federal lead limits since 2018. Yet according to the data available to the NRDC, Michigan is by no means the worst.

Places where incomes are low are often most affected by lead. A study in JAMA Pediatrics, a journal, found that children in poor areas were close to 2.5 times more likely to have elevated blood levels than those in richer ones. The bipartisan infrastructure bill, signed into law by President Joe Biden on November 5th, sets aside $15bn for lead-pipe replacements. The $1.7trn Build Back Better bill could provide nearly $10bn on top of that, for pipe replacements and mitigation tactics such as filters aimed at schools. But the country has a long way to go. Even an earlier estimate from the White House calculates that it would cost $45bn to replace all lead service lines in the country. And the task will be all the harder if states don’t even know where to look. 

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At an emergency meeting in Egypt the Arab League voted to re-admit Syria, which was suspended in 2011. The meeting also discussed the war in Sudan. Syria’s neighbours have been normalising relations with the country in recent months. Saudi Arabia, which will host the League’s scheduled meeting on May 19th, had sought to keep the country’s dictator, Bashar al-Assad, a pariah, but has conceded of late that its efforts have failed.

America’s treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, warned that Congress could create a “constitutional crisis” if it fails to raise the debt ceiling, which could be breached as soon as June 1st. Republicans are demanding federal spending cuts in exchange for lifting the government’s borrowing limit. President Joe Biden’s officials have considered invoking a constitutional amendment to get around congressional approval, should negotiations, which begin on Tuesday, become deadlocked.

The Wagner mercenary group appeared to abandon its threat to withdraw from Bakhmut, the eastern Ukrainian town that has been the site of intense fighting for more than ten months. The group’s head said that it had been promised more ammunition and weapons from Russia. A Ukrainian defence official in Bakhmut reported that Russia had stepped up shelling.

Slovakia’s prime minister, Eduard Heger, stepped down after resignations from his cabinet weakened his government. Mr Heger had been due to serve until an election in September. His government has sent aid and weapons to Ukraine but the pro-Russian Smer-SD party, which opposes sending more, is ahead in the polls. Slovakia’s president will appoint a new prime minister.

Russia blamed Ukraine for a car bombing that wounded Zakhar Prilepin, a Russian nationalist blogger, and killed his driver. The Kremlin said it has detained a suspect who acted on “instructions of the Ukrainian special services”. Ukraine denied any involvement. Mr Prilepin is a prominent supporter of Russia's invasion of Ukraine; he is the third such figure to be targeted since the war began.

Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway were greeted at the investment firm’s AGM by the news that first-quarter operating profit—the number Warren Buffett, the boss, urges them to focus on—had risen from $7.2bn a year ago to $8.1bn in 2023. But the mood might have been dampened by Mr Buffett’s comments. The 92-year-old “Sage of Omaha” predicted that the American economy’s “incredible period” was coming to an end, and that earnings across much of the company’s businesses would fall this year.

A new genus of butterflies has been named after Sauron, a character in J.R.R. Tolkien’s “Lord of the Rings” novels. Saurona triangular and Saurona aurigera have black marks on their wings which reminded biologists of Sauron’s eye, which scours Mordor for troublesome hobbits. Researchers at the Natural History Museum in London hope that the name will generate interest in conservation.

Fact of the day: 80,000, the number of war-crimes cases opened by Ukraine since Russia’s invasion. Read the full story.


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NATO’s formidable show

Thirteen countries; 20-odd warships; 35 aircraft; and some 4,000 personnel. Exercise Formidable Shield, the air-defence exercise NATO holds every two years, begins on Monday in and around the High North, close to the Arctic Circle. Though a routine exercise, it comes just when the need for strong air defences has become grimly apparent from Russia’s heartless strikes against Ukrainian cities.

The wargame has a threefold purpose. First, to improve allies’ ability to operate seamlessly in fending off enemy aircraft, as well as cruise and ballistic missiles. Second, it offers reassurance to nervous allies, especially those neighbouring Russia. And third, it is a warning to Russia against trying to intimidate NATO members.

The live-fire exercise, running until May 26th, will use missile ranges in Scotland and Norway, and will be commanded from a Spanish frigate. It will feature F-35 jets, in service with several of the allies. Commanders say the exercise will “integrate joint capability from the ocean bottom to low earth orbit.” Expect Russia to be watching closely, from the sea floor to space.

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Europe’s divided economy

On May 4th the European Central Bank slowed down the pace of its monetary tightening with an interest-rate increase of just 0.25 percentage points, to 3.75%, despite stubbornly high inflation. The ECB argued that higher rates were already having the desired effect of cooling down the economy. On cue, data released the following day showed German industrial orders dropping by a whopping 10.7% in March, compared with a month earlier. The country’s industrial production figures for March will follow on Monday.

Having dodged a recession last year following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing energy crisis, Europe is still hoping for a soft landing from high inflation. Yet the economy is increasingly divided: services are still doing well, according to the latest survey data, but manufacturing is being squeezed by lower demand. A sizeable drop in Germany’s production numbers may lead central bankers to conclude that their policies are working rather too well.

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Pulitzer prizes

This is a difficult time for American journalists. Public trust in the media is slumping: more than 80% of Americans see fake news as a big problem, says Pew, a pollster. Some shun the news as too depressing. In a recent survey published by the Associated Press, almost 75% of respondents blamed the media for political polarisation. Nearly half had no faith in media impartiality.

Nonetheless, journalism done right brings public benefits. Expect the winners of this year’s Pulitzer prizes, announced on Monday, to provide examples of this. Consider those recognised in 2022. The Pulitzer foundation honoured outlets for coverage of the Capitol riot, police violence, the legacy of 9/11 and lead in drinking water.

Prizes, however, don’t deliver financial security. Buzzfeed News, which picked up a Pulitzer in 2021, closed in April. And local papers continue to vaporise: last year an average of two papers folded every week.

PHOTO: THE TRUSTEES OF THE BRITISH MUSE

Greek and Persian riches on display

“Treasure there was in plenty—tents full of gold and silver furniture,” wrote Herodotus, a Greek historian, in the fifth century BC. He was describing the quarters of a Persian commander, captured during one of the many Greek-Persian wars. Records from this turbulent period, mostly written by the Greeks, claim that their civilisation rejected such displays of wealth. But an exhibition at the British Museum in London suggests the story was more nuanced.

Through ancient artefacts unearthed in Afghanistan, Bulgaria and beyond, “Luxury and power: Persia to Greece” shows that the warring societies were more entwined than Herodotus and his contemporaries cared to admit. On display are gilded amphora and intricate drinking vessels deployed by the Persian court to show their wealth and power. In turn, the Greeks reinterpreted decorative items from Persia. Jewellery found in Greece, for instance, bears the same animal motifs that caper across Persian treasures. An appreciation for opulence transcended the rivalry.

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A gel to treat brain cancer

Glioblastoma is a fiendish disease in which fast-growing tumours spread mesh-like through the brain. Even after treatments including surgery, chemotherapy and immunotherapy, glioblastoma nearly always returns. Only 10% of those afflicted survive beyond five years. Now, as reported in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, researchers have taken an encouraging step forward with a new treatment on mice.

The treatment is a hydrogel combining paclitaxel, a chemotherapy drug, with an antibody called aCD47. After removing glioblastoma tumours from the brains of mice, researchers spread the gel around the cavity. There it filled the tiny grooves left behind and killed any lingering cells. Removing the tumour and using the gel cured 100% of the mice. Even more hopefully none showed regrowth of glioblastoma when reinjected with tumour cells after the treatment. What works in mice does not necessarily mean a miracle cure for humans, but the progress bodes well for tackling one of the most insidious of cancers.

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World leaders and assorted dignitaries gathered in London for the coronation of King Charles III in Westminster Abbey. He will swear to govern the people of the United Kingdom and his other “realms and territories” and to maintain in the first of these “the Protestant Reformed Religion”. Festivities to follow the service will include a flypast of 60 aircraft and a military parade featuring 4,000 troops. Rishi Sunak, the prime minister, called the crowning a “moment of extraordinary national pride”. Not everyone agrees. Anti-monarchists from Republic, a campaign group, were arrested at a protest in central London.

American employers added 253,000 jobs in April, exceeding forecasts. The unemployment rate dropped slightly to 3.4%, down from 3.5% in March. On Wednesday the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, but indicated it may be reaching the end of its tightening regime. The labour market’s resilience may complicate the Fed’s decision-making.

The head of Ukraine’s air force claimed that the country had downed a Russian hypersonic missile. The Kh-47 Kinzhal appears to have been intercepted by a US-provided Patriot air-defence system during an attack over Kyiv on May 4th. Ukrainian officials had originally denied the claim.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the WHO’s director-general, said that covid-19 is no longer a global health emergency, but would remain “a global health threat”. The virus was first given emergency status in January 2020, two months before it was declared a pandemic. It has officially killed over 6m people. Warning against complacency, Dr Tedros said that the virus is “still killing, and it is still changing”.

Sudan’s warring military factions sent delegations to Saudi Arabia for ceasefire talks. America and Saudi Arabia hope the meeting will ease tensions between Sudan’s army and the Rapid Support Forces militia. But both sides said they would discuss only humanitarian issues and not an end to the conflict. All previous truces have been violated.

America’s Department of Justice is investigating whether Binance was used by Russians to illegally skirt American sanctions, according to Bloomberg. The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange insisted it complies with American and international sanctions. The company has faced similar allegations in the past. Documents released on Friday revealed that Israel has seized nearly 200 Binance accounts with alleged ties to terrorist groups.

The foreign ministers of Afghanistan and China arrived in Pakistan for trilateral talks to discuss regional stability and trade. The Taliban is hoping to attract Chinese infrastructure investment and improve its connectivity with its neighbours, such as Pakistan. Last month China’s foreign ministry said it “supports Afghanistan’s integration” into the region.

Word of the week: Yunarmia, “Youth Army” in Russian, and an organisation launched by Russia’s defence ministry in 2016, which teaches kids military skills at jolly summer camps. Read the full story.


PHOTO: REUTERS

Tradition reigns at Charles’s coronation

On Saturday Charles III will be formally crowned king in Westminster Abbey in London. The ceremony will be rich in history, tradition, kings, queens and people with improbable titles. Among those present in the abbey will be the Rouge Dragon Pursuivant; the Garter King of Arms; the Lords Spiritual and Temporal of this realm; and His Most Godly Beatitude Theophilos III, Patriarch of Jerusalem and All Palestine.

The ceremony itself is even more baroque. Charles will be anointed with oil using a special Coronation Spoon and sit on a chair inside which lies an ancient “Stone of Destiny”. Whether he will be enjoying his own destiny is unclear: he once said the realisation that he would be king dawned upon him “with the most ghastly inexorable sense”.

In one nod to modernity, however, members of the House of Lords may wear their “usual” parliamentary robes—which is to say, red robes lined with silk and trimmed with ermine—rather than fancier coronation ones. It’s almost street style.

PHOTO: ALAMY

Billionaires have had a bumpy ride

This year, according to the latest stocktake from Forbes, there are 2,640 dollar billionaires. Their collective wealth amounts to $12trn, or 12% of global GDP.

The Economist’s crony-capitalism index classifies the sources of their wealth into rent-seeking and non-rent-seeking sectors. Rent-seeking is common in sectors close to the state, including banking, construction, and natural resources. Rent-seekers sometimes gain favourable access to land, form cartels or lobby the government for advantageous regulations. Most billionaires do not operate in rent-seeking sectors. But we find that crony-sector wealth has increased from 1% of global GDP in 1998 to 3% today. Some two-thirds of that rise comes from four countries: America, China, India and Russia.

Yet plutocrats in all four countries—whether rent-seekers or not—have taken a hit recently. America’s tech founders have been pummelled by falling valuations. China has continued to shake down much of its capitalist class. And Russia’s plutocrats, many of them close to the Kremlin, have been hit by sanctions that have frozen their bank accounts, homes and yachts overseas.

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Uffizi’s masterpieces travel beyond Florence

The “Madonna of the Baldacchino”, painted by Raphael in the early 16th century, has had an adventurous life. The painting travelled around Italy, and even to Paris, before settling in the Pitti Palace in Florence, part of the Uffizi galleries. Itinerant again, it will be unveiled on Saturday in the cathedral of the Tuscan town of Pescia, where it was housed for around 150 years until the late 17th century.

The temporary relocation of Raphael’s early masterpiece is part of a project to show works from the Uffizi's vast collection in places where they are particularly relevant. The galleries’ director, Eike Schmidt, calls his programme the “Uffizi Diffusi”, or “Scattered Uffizi”. It has held more than 30 exhibitions since 2021. Mr Schmidt is planning a second phase, in which works that would otherwise languish in the Uffizi’s storerooms will be exhibited permanently at newly restored sites around Tuscany. Visitors to Pescia can see the “Madonna of the Baldacchino” from next week to the end of July.

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Sexual harassment in Indian sport

Over the past fortnight India’s best wrestlers, including Olympic medallists, have been training on the streets of Delhi. But this is no outdoor camp; it is an act of protest. The grapplers are hoping to pin down Brijbhushan Sharan Singh, the president of India’s national wrestling federation, whom they accuse of sexual harassment. Mr Singh, a member of India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party, denies all allegations, and accuses the protesters of playing a “political game”.

In January, when the claims first surfaced, the government promised an inquiry. But the wrestlers are demanding more—including Mr Singh’s arrest. (Delhi’s police have launched an investigation.) Support for the wrestlers’ cause is swelling, especially among fellow athletes. Indeed, sexual wrongdoing is a problem in other sports. And efforts to protect athletes are poorly enforced: 16 of India’s 30 sporting bodies do not have internal committees to deal with harassment issues, as the law requires.

PHOTO: RYAN LASH / TED

Weekend profile: Eliezer Yudkowsky, AI champion turned critic

“Shut it all down.” Eliezer Yudkowsky, a decision theorist and co-founder of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute in Berkeley, California, pulled no punches in a recent op-ed in Time magazine. For years Mr Yudkowsky, now 43, has warned, in relative obscurity, of the threat that a runaway artificial intelligence (AI) could pose to humankind. But since late last year, when services such as ChatGPT have become capable of giving human-like answers to all kinds of questions, many more have started to listen.

An autodidact, Mr Yudkowsky has a loyal following in the AI-research community. In his 20s, influenced by science-fiction writers such as Vernor Vinge, he yearned for a “singularity”—a superintelligence, to solve all human problems—and he put his many talents to creating it. But he realised that he was wrong: such a superintelligence was likely to develop a mind of its own, not aligned with the interests of humans. His goal became to further the development of a “friendly AI”, one that would not harm mankind.

Mr Yudkowsky does not mind being somewhat wrong. He started the blog “LessWrong”, which was once the main organ of the “rationalist” intellectual movement. Contemporary rationalists seek “to move our beliefs closer to reality”, as another leading light of the movement put it, in particular by making mistakes and using probability and logic to deal with uncertainty.

In the early 2000s Mr Yudkowsky was a prolific blogger, writing not just about the risk of AI, but about everything sci-fi-influenced geeks might be interested in, from cognitive biases and quantum physics to transhumanism and zombies. Today, the “Sequences”, as Mr Yudkowsky’s collected posts have come to be called, are required reading for rationalists. He has also published his ideas in a popular form, a fan-fiction novel called “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality”.

Mr Yudkowsky’s critics say his approach is less rational than it is religious. Meta’s chief AI scientist recently called on him to stop his alarmism. Mr Yudkowsky retorted that it was “silly to claim that you’re not risking anyone’s life”.

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Shares in PacWest, a mid-sized bank, fell by 28%, as investors remained nervous about the prospects for America’s regional lenders. The share price of Western Alliance, another bank considered vulnerable to a run on its deposits, also plunged. Regulators had hoped to halt the bank-share sell-off when they arranged JPMorgan Chase’s acquisition of First Republic last weekend.

Israeli forces and Palestinian armed groups in Gaza reportedly agreed to a ceasefire. The truce follows fighting on Tuesday, provoked by the death in Israeli custody of Khader Adnan, a high-profile Palestinian prisoner. Some rockets had been fired towards Israel. The “reciprocal and simultaneous” ceasefire was brokered by Egypt, Qatar and the UN, two Palestinian officials told Reuters.

The chief executives of Anthropic, Alphabet’s Google, Microsoft and OpenAI will meet Kamala Harris, America’s vice-president, and other Biden administration officials on Thursday to discuss worries about artificial intelligence. The White House said it expected their firms, which have launched AI chatbots, to “make sure their products are safe”. Meanwhile, the co-founders of LinkedIn and DeepMind, an AI research company, launched Pi, another new chatbot.

The leaders of Sudan’s warring factions agreed to a one-week truce from Thursday and will select envoys for peace talks, according to neighbouring South Sudan, which has been working to negotiate an end to the fighting. Air strikes and shooting near Khartoum, the capital, undermined the latest ceasefire.

An explosion derailed a freight train in south-west Russia, near the border with Belarus and Ukraine. Officials called it “illegal interference in the work of railway transport”. The area has been subject to sabotage attacks since the start of the war. A similar incident on Monday, closer to the border with Ukraine, caused another train to catch fire.

Greece’s highest court upheld legislation that in effect bans the far-right Greeks party from standing in upcoming parliamentary elections. It is believed to be the first such disqualification since the end of military rule in 1974. In February lawmakers barred parties headed by anyone convicted of serious crimes. Until recently the Greeks were led by a neo-Nazi who is currently in prison.

Three of the world’s ten highest-paid athletes have links to Saudi Arabia, according to Forbes. The magazine’s ranking highlights the kingdom’s growing clout in sport. Cristiano Ronaldo—the world’s best-paid athlete, who will earn an estimated $136m in 2023—recently signed for a Saudi football club, Al-Nassr. Two golfers, Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson, make the list after joining the breakaway Saudi-funded LIV Golf tour. Mr Johnson didn’t make the top 50 in 2022.

Fact of the day: 80%, the proportion of Afghanistan’s 2.5m school-age women and girls who are not being educated. Read the full story.


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Press freedom is in decline

The spread of authoritarianism and attacks on democracy have eroded press freedom around the world. A 2022 analysis of 180 countries by Reporters Without Borders, a non-profit group, classified the situation as “very bad” in 28 countries—a record number. Its latest analysis will be published on Wednesday, designated as World Press Freedom Day by the United Nations.

It will probably show that things have become even worse. Attacks on journalists, both physical and online, are all too common. The Russian authorities’ arrest of Evan Gershkovich, a correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, in March on spurious charges showed the extreme lengths governments will go to silence reporters.

The media also increasingly faces another, more insidious, threat: fake news. Artificial intelligence is making it easier to tamper with content and pump out disinformation. When the public no longer knows what to believe, the job of a newsroom is tougher than ever.

PHOTO: ALAMY

The Fed’s final hike?

The market’s mantra is “one and done”. America’s Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, in what would be the tenth increase in a row. Investors expect the Fed to lift short-term borrowing rates to a floor of 5%, up from 0% in March 2022—the country’s sharpest monetary tightening in four decades. But as suggested by the motto—which should perhaps be the less pithy “one more and done”—many think this should be the final turn of the screw.

The Fed’s rapid tightening has engendered financial risks, as evidenced by bank failures in recent weeks. And America’s economy is slowing: employment data released on Friday is likely to show another drop in job creation last month (though no recession, yet). But inflation—the trigger for the tightening—remains uncomfortably high. So even if the next rate increase is the final one in this cycle, the Fed may signal that it will keep rates high until inflation is vanquished.

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A deadline for Ukraine’s grain deal

Talks on extending a deal designed to allow Ukrainian ports to export grain are due to resume on Wednesday. The initial agreement, brokered by the UN and Turkey last July, granted Russia sanctions relief on agricultural produce in exchange for unblocking Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. But it expires on May 18th, and the Kremlin has indicated that it is unwilling to agree to an extension.

Ukrainian officials say that Russia is undermining the agreement anyway. One minister has accused it of making exports unviable by taking longer to inspect Ukrainian vessels for no apparent reason. Even with the deal in place grain exports currently stand at around 30% of the pre-war norm. (In peacetime, Ukraine’s ports could export up to 7m tonnes a month.)

To get around Russia’s troublemaking Ukraine has been developing export terminals along the Danube. These ports’ proximity to the territorial waters of Romania, a NATO member, helps protect them from Russian guns. Yet few observers think exports from the Danube can fully compensate for the Black Sea. A lot rides on renewing the deal.

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The travails of the Trump Organisation

In recent days a jury in Manhattan has heard E. Jean Carroll, a writer, accuse Donald Trump of raping her in the 1990s. Mr Trump, who denies the allegations, skipped the civil trial citing logistical “burdens”. But he seems unburdened enough to travel to, as he says, “inspect my great properties”. On Monday he opened a new golf course in Scotland; on Wednesday he will tour Trump Doonbeg, another resort in Ireland.

During Mr Trump’s presidency, his real-estate company paused foreign dealmaking. Since he left office it has inked just one deal, with a Saudi firm for a resort in Oman. The Trump Organisation has been preoccupied with lawsuits instead. In January it was fined for tax fraud. And New York’s attorney-general alleges that Mr Trump fraudulently inflated his net worth to secure bigger loans (a charge that he denies). She wants to bar him from real-estate deals in the state for five years. That would at least free up some time for more legal proceedings.

PHOTO: DAVID FREEMAN / THE ROCKY HORROR

Fifty years of “The Rocky Horror Show”

When the “Time Warp” comes on, everyone knows the moves: “it’s just a jump to the left! And then a step to the right!” “The Rocky Horror Show”, Richard O’Brien’s campy send-up of horror films, was first performed in 1973 in a theatre with just 63 seats. It has now been seen by 30m theatregoers and is one of the longest-running musicals in the world. Fifty years after its debut, on Wednesday the raucous comedy returns to London’s West End.

A film from 1975—“The Rocky Horror Picture Show”—further cemented the musical as a subversive cult classic. Audience participation is now a tradition at many showings: spectators shout out lines and dress up like the cast. And Dr Frank-N-Furter’s gender-bending universe was ahead of its time: though some numbers such as “Sweet transvestite” may seem outdated today, it presaged more modern theatrical depictions of drag such as “Kinky Boots” and “Everybody’s Talking About Jamie”. Audiences will probably be doing the Time Warp for many years to come.

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Meta’s share price soared in post-session trading after the tech firm reported better-than-expected results for the first quarter of 2023. Revenues grew by 3% year over year, to $28.7bn—a reversal from the past three consecutive quarters of declines. The company, which owns Facebook and Instagram, has sacked thousands of workers in recent months to cut costs. Still, net income fell by 24%, to $5.7bn, partly because of investments in AI.

America’s House of Representatives approved a Republican plan to raise the government’s debt ceiling. The legislation—which also proposes budget cuts and rolling back several of President Joe Biden’s policies—is unlikely to pass the Democrat-controlled Senate. Mr Biden has urged Republicans to raise the ceiling without conditions. Failure to reach an agreement could push America into default by June this year.

Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, spoke for the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine. During the phone call Mr Xi said that negotiation was the “only way out” of the war. Mr Zelensky tweeted afterwards that it was a “long and meaningful” conversation. China has yet to condemn Russia for its aggression and the two countries have maintained friendly relations.

While on a state visit to America Yoon Suk-yeol, South Korea’s president, and Joe Biden issued the “Washington Declaration”, a joint statement on America’s nuclear deterrent. Its purpose was mutual reassurance: America agreed to beef up consultation with South Korea, while South Korea reaffirmed its commitment to the Non-Proliferation Treaty, despite growing calls for it to get its own nukes.

Quarterly profits at Samsung Electronics plunged to their lowest level in 14 years. The world’s largest memory-chip maker said the 95% year-on-year drop was due to “weak demand” and “inventory adjustments from customers”. Earlier this month the South Korean firm announced a “meaningful” cut in its memory-chip production, amid an industry-wide slump.

Disney sued Florida’s Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, and other state officials for “weaponising the power of government” to punish the company. Earlier a board appointed by Mr DeSantis nullified development contracts at Disney’s Orlando-area resort. The firm calls that a violation of its property rights, intended as punishment for having criticised Mr DeSantis’s “Don’t Say Gay” law.

For the first time in the Vatican’s history women will vote in the Synod of Bishops, a periodical gathering of church leaders, which will be held in October. Pope Francis requested the appointment of 70 non-bishop members of the meeting, half of which are to be women. A leader of the Women’s Ordination Conference, an activist group, called the decision “a significant crack in the stained-glass ceiling”.

Fact of the day: 70%, the proportion of Americans who do not want Joe Biden to run for re-election. Read the full story.


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America’s growth stays strong, for now

Before 2023 began many forecasters thought the American economy would enter a recession at the start of the year. It has fared quite a bit better than that. GDP figures for the first quarter, released on Thursday, are now expected to show growth at an annual pace of about 2%. That is largely because of a tight labour market, which has pushed up wages and helped to sustain consumption.

Continued predictions of recession may sound too gloomy given America’s better-than-expected performance to date. But it will struggle to avoid a sharp slowdown. Turmoil in the banking sector threatens the wider economy. The labour market is starting to weaken, with more people collecting unemployment insurance. Meanwhile, inflation is still high, forcing the Federal Reserve to maintain a tight monetary policy. The first quarter may be the high-water mark for American growth this year.

PHOTO: DAVE SIMONDS

Meloni and Sunak on common ground

Italy’s prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, comes to London on Thursday to meet her British counterpart, Rishi Sunak. Co-operation between their countries has been blossoming. Last December, Britain and Italy joined Japan in a project to develop next-generation fighter aircraft. In February, the two countries signed Britain’s first trade agreement with an EU state since Brexit.

Ms Meloni, a populist, and Mr Sunak, who styles himself as more of a technocrat, in fact, have plenty in common. Each is tackling seaborne irregular migration (even if the roughly 5,000 migrants crossing the Channel to Britain this year are dwarfed by the almost 37,000 who have landed in Italy). Both leaders came into office last October. Both are conservatives, though Ms Meloni’s party, Brothers of Italy, has a more radical tradition with roots in neo-fascism—leading to a colder shoulder from French and German counterparts compared with the reception of her moderate predecessor, Mario Draghi. She could do with a friend in London.

PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

America's dead banks walking

On Monday First Republic Bank revealed that it had lost more than $100bn of its deposits in the first quarter. After the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, well-heeled customers, who held balances too large to be insured by regulators, had fled the mid-sized American bank. With depositors gone its alternatives are recapitalisation by investors or the government. But investors are fleeing too, with the bank’s share price plunging by 50% on Tuesday. The firm is reported to be in talks with regulators, who have repeatedly promised deposits in the banking system are safe.

How many more banks are at risk? One study found that if half of uninsured depositors—the type that felled SVB and may soon fell First Republic—pulled their money out, some 190 American banks, with combined assets of $300bn, would be left with negative equity capital. If this figure included First Republic it suggests any other lurking zombies would be much smaller. Still, another scare hardly seems out of the question.

PHOTO: AP

Missouri goes after adult gender medicine

In the name of protecting children, more than a dozen American states restrict access to gender medicine for minors. But few have sought to ban such treatments for adults. Grown-ups should, the argument goes, be free to do with their bodies what they wish. Yet if Missouri has its way, treatment will be severely restricted for adults too. An emergency law, due to take effect on Thursday, would have banned doctors from providing puberty blockers, hormone therapy and surgery to new patients before high bars are met. These include evidence of three consecutive years of “medically documented” gender dysphoria, hours of therapy, resolution of any mental-health conditions, and screening for autism and “social-media addiction”. On Wednesday, however, a judge put the new regime on pause while a legal challenge to it plays out.

The state’s Republican attorney-general, Andrew Bailey, says that such measures will help those struggling with their gender identity “make good decisions”. But the litigation will be a test case for other states. Conservative politicians and advocates of trans rights elsewhere will be watching closely.

PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

Last Late, Late Show

On Thursday James Corden will sit under Studio 56’s neon purple lights for the last time. After eight years of hosting “The Late Late Show” in Los Angeles, the British comedian is returning to London to spend more time with his family.

He won’t be short of things to do. Mr Corden has continued to act in films and television shows during his tenure; he has said he hopes to return to theatre, too. Other talk-show hosts, such as David Letterman and Jon Stewart, landed deals with streaming services after stepping away from their duties.

But CBS, the network which airs the programme, will feel Mr Corden’s absence. Clips of his show are watched online by hundreds of millions of people. (Its YouTube channel has 28.3m subscribers; by comparison, the rival “The Daily Show” has 10.4m.) According to Deadline, an entertainment website, the lights will go off on the “Late Late Show” franchise when Mr Corden, its fourth host, departs. Talk about being irreplaceable.

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